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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 12, 2011·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Florida Panthers 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.

FLA winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Lecavalier–StamkosMoore–Bergenheim–RitolaGagne–Thompson–PurcellHall–Jones–TyrellLecavalier–Hall–ThompsonGagne–Tyrell–StamkosSt. Louis–Jones–PurcellHall–Moore–ThompsonGagne–Moore–PurcellHall–Thompson–TyrellBrewer–LundinBergeron–HedmanOhlund–ClarkBrewer–HedmanClark–HedmanBrewer–BergeronBergeron–Lundin
Reasoner–Booth–Repik2:440.05–0.082:060.00–0.002:050.00–0.040:340.00–0.060:410.10–0.000:350.00–0.001:120.27–0.062:120.00–0.084:450.03–0.041:240.00–0.001:460.15–0.00
Samsonov–Weiss–Bergfors1:400.17–0.100:540.02–0.001:170.10–0.011:210.00–0.001:070.00–0.101:360.00–0.004:430.13–0.062:080.27–0.051:170.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:000.00–0.10
Bernier–Santorelli–Kennedy1:010.00–0.081:130.00–0.050:320.00–0.011:050.02–0.230:300.02–0.002:080.00–0.281:040.00–0.05
Hordichuk–Thomas–Carter0:470.00–0.021:460.00–0.170:300.02–0.002:180.00–0.170:570.02–0.04
Bernier–Santorelli–Carter0:450.07–0.030:300.07–0.030:340.00–0.00
Weaver–Garrison6:110.22–0.230:400.00–0.001:040.04–0.051:190.00–0.020:320.00–0.002:210.02–0.074:120.17–0.182:270.00–0.001:260.02–0.090:310.05–0.000:380.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Ellerby–Kulikov1:240.00–0.002:590.01–0.030:360.10–0.011:010.00–0.001:070.27–0.180:400.00–0.101:070.00–0.001:060.10–0.003:150.27–0.002:440.19–0.203:040.00–0.021:260.10–0.00
Callahan–Wilson3:010.08–0.070:320.00–0.012:220.01–0.070:310.00–0.003:120.13–0.070:500.00–0.002:000.08–0.070:480.00–0.000:320.00–0.02
Wilson–Kulikov0:340.03–0.000:340.00–0.000:320.03–0.03
Callahan–Ellerby0:400.00–0.170:440.00–0.170:340.00–0.00
Callahan–Garrison0:440.02–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndWeiss FBergfors FSamsonov FRepik FBooth FReasoner FBernier FSantorelli FKennedy FHordichuk FCarter FThomas FEllerby DKulikov DWeaver DGarrison DWilson DCallahan DClemmensen GLecavalier FHall FThompson FSt. Louis FJones FPurcell FGagne FStamkos FTyrell FBergenheim FMoore FRitola FBrewer DLundin DOhlund DClark DBergeron DHedman DSmith G
FLATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jason GarrisonFLA3027:040:541:4735
Mike WeaverFLA3025:500:522:0846
Eric BrewerTBL3225:320:481:5737
Stephen WeissFLA3424:280:431:4756
Dmitry KulikovFLA2724:130:541:3627
Victor HedmanTBL3324:070:441:2921
Brett ClarkTBL3023:190:471:2733
Vincent LecavalierTBL2623:000:532:0855
Martin St. LouisTBL2722:580:512:0862
Marty ReasonerFLA2622:570:532:3024
Steven StamkosTBL2722:400:502:0872
David BoothFLA2521:400:521:4162
Sergei SamsonovFLA2420:320:511:4755
Keaton EllerbyFLA2719:190:431:1817
Michal RepikFLA2319:120:501:4821
Niclas BergforsFLA2619:050:441:3354
Simon GagneTBL2418:550:471:1752
Dominic MooreTBL2718:130:401:2143
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2918:030:371:2882
Mike LundinTBL2717:140:381:3215
Sean BergenheimTBL2215:490:431:2742
Nate ThompsonTBL2615:260:361:0913
Mike SantorelliFLA2615:180:351:1554
Joe CallahanFLA1914:310:461:3213
Teddy PurcellTBL1814:300:481:1742
Clay WilsonFLA1713:570:492:0221
Mattias OhlundTBL2213:510:381:1313
Adam HallTBL2213:480:380:5410
Ryan CarterFLA1711:470:421:1703
Steve BernierFLA1911:410:371:2711
Dana TyrellTBL168:440:330:5810
Blair JonesTBL117:460:421:0710
Mattias RitolaTBL97:010:471:2030
Bill ThomasFLA96:130:411:0411
Tim KennedyFLA74:580:431:0111
Darcy HordichukFLA54:070:491:0401