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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 25, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Samsonov–Weiss–BergforsRissmiller–Santorelli–RepikReasoner–Carter–DadonovReasoner–Booth–DadonovHordichuk–Bernier–CarterHordichuk–Bernier–SantorelliHordichuk–Weiss–BernierReasoner–Hordichuk–BernierReasoner–Rissmiller–RepikEllerby–KulikovWeaver–GarrisonCallahan–Sulzer
Gaustad–Mancari–Gerbe6:160.16–0.121:050.02–0.001:320.00–0.020:380.00–0.030:510.00–0.002:520.56–0.035:070.02–0.024:030.14–0.27
Connolly–Pominville–Vanek3:210.31–0.031:560.00–0.013:480.40–0.340:330.09–0.005:040.43–0.115:390.54–0.281:030.00–0.01
Boyes–Stafford–Ennis1:230.00–0.113:160.23–0.161:500.48–0.002:220.36–0.030:360.00–0.002:540.52–0.033:150.00–0.203:290.64–0.06
Niedermayer–Grier–McCormick3:300.01–0.162:590.13–0.030:550.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:350.14–0.004:150.07–0.114:470.22–0.08
Grier–McCormick–Ennis0:330.07–0.000:340.07–0.000:360.00–0.01
Leopold–Butler6:170.14–0.171:480.00–0.101:310.02–0.251:260.00–0.000:400.00–0.030:560.00–0.000:380.00–0.003:500.09–0.067:530.02–0.404:070.35–0.13
Sekera–Myers3:070.31–0.001:560.01–0.033:070.87–0.091:080.06–0.021:240.06–0.034:591.45–0.134:350.54–0.023:090.06–0.15
Morrisonn–Weber1:450.02–0.095:070.05–0.130:440.00–0.000:450.29–0.030:440.00–0.001:020.07–0.004:440.09–0.101:340.00–0.014:550.33–0.14
Sekera–Weber0:350.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:480.00–0.010:330.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:460.07–0.04
Leopold–Sekera0:330.00–0.100:400.00–0.001:130.00–0.000:470.00–0.10
Leopold–Morrisonn0:400.00–0.001:110.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMancari FGaustad FGerbe FVanek FConnolly FPominville FStafford FBoyes FEnnis FNiedermayer FMcCormick FGrier FLeopold DButler DSekera DMyers DWeber DMorrisonn DMiller GBooth FReasoner FDadonov FWeiss FBergfors FSamsonov FSantorelli FRepik FRissmiller FHordichuk FBernier FCarter FWeaver DGarrison DEllerby DKulikov DSulzer DCallahan DVokoun G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jordan LeopoldBUF2925:070:522:0514
Dmitry KulikovFLA2622:400:522:3782
Andrej SekeraBUF2622:160:511:5323
Jason GarrisonFLA2520:470:501:4314
Chris ButlerBUF2719:420:441:1704
Mike WeaverFLA2519:230:471:4324
Keaton EllerbyFLA2419:190:481:3142
Marty ReasonerFLA2219:130:521:2435
Sergei SamsonovFLA2318:500:492:2322
Mike SantorelliFLA2318:410:492:1263
Tim ConnollyBUF2118:250:531:4222
Stephen WeissFLA2218:210:502:2312
Alexander SulzerFLA2117:580:511:3150
Mike WeberBUF2317:150:451:4015
Tyler MyersBUF2417:000:431:1024
Joe CallahanFLA2016:510:511:2751
Shaone MorrisonnBUF2316:500:441:3515
Thomas VanekBUF1916:390:531:1923
Niclas BergforsFLA2416:170:411:0340
Jason PominvilleBUF1916:160:511:1924
Evgenii DadonovFLA2316:100:421:1244
Drew StaffordBUF2115:350:451:1963
Nathan GerbeBUF2215:220:421:1614
Ryan CarterFLA2114:580:431:1955
Mark MancariBUF2214:500:401:0814
Paul GaustadBUF2014:420:441:2213
Mike GrierBUF1814:040:471:1024
Steve BernierFLA1813:580:472:1254
Patrick RissmillerFLA1813:560:461:0721
Michal RepikFLA1913:480:441:0711
Brad BoyesBUF1913:270:421:1842
Tyler EnnisBUF1813:210:451:1832
Cody McCormickBUF1611:550:451:0122
Rob NiedermayerBUF1611:140:421:0724
Darcy HordichukFLA1310:050:471:0533
David BoothFLA74:140:361:0202