Sat, Apr 2, 2011·Verizon Center, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 4, Washington Capitals 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 74% of the time.
67%
18%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:30 | 0.07 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:13 | 0.04 | 31.1% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.18 | 35.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.02 | 46.2% | +35.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:36 | 0.31 | 33.1% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:29 | 0.06 | 27.4% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.01 | 27.4% | +36.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:49 | 0.17 | 28.0% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.11 | 79.1% | +35.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:40 | 0.31 | 78.8% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.09 | 33.1% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.02 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.14 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.12 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.10 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:22 | 0.24 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.03 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:41 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 35 | 30 | 5 | .857 | 3.44 | −1.6 | 63:19 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 26:37 | 0.05 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 25:19 | 0.16 | 63.8% | +66.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.02 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:29 | 0.01 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 7 | 20:06 | 0.35 | 48.7% | +109.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.04 | 55.8% | +36.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.36 | 47.7% | +49.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:10 | 0.48 | 80.7% | +55.9 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 17:58 | 0.63 | 78.3% | +102.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.09 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:32 | 0.67 | 51.0% | +43.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:16 | 0.14 | 79.3% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.04 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.27 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.06 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:23 | 0.07 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 2.02 | −2.0 | 62:38 |