Tue, Apr 5, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
12%
36%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.01 | 68.2% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.05 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.08 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.03 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:36 | 0.00 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.18 | 57.3% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:42 | 0.43 | 67.7% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.13 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:53 | 0.21 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 46.2% | +15.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.16 | 58.5% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.01 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.09 | 87.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:14 | 0.32 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:28 | 0.07 | 94.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 1.98 | −2.0 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:01 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:41 | 0.02 | 33.0% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:01 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:36 | 0.01 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.08 | 59.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.51 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.10 | 34.6% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.22 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.06 | 32.0% | +57.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.06 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 15:55 | 0.55 | 47.1% | +45.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.09 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.17 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.01 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.03 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.03 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.04 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 1.81 | −0.2 | 60:00 |