Fri, Apr 8, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
12%
39%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 27:03 | 0.04 | 68.2% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:56 | 0.11 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:07 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.20 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:24 | 0.48 | 64.3% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.12 | 63.4% | +42.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.16 | 66.5% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.16 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.02 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.09 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 15.5% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.16 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.06 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 0.19 | 40.9% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.04 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:04 | 0.12 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 1.97 | −2.0 | 61:16 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 25:04 | 0.01 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:45 | 0.01 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.00 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.07 | 38.2% | +33.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:02 | 0.13 | 48.0% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.16 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.18 | 45.0% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 16:57 | 0.48 | 45.6% | +107.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 16:41 | 0.24 | 54.8% | +56.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.13 | 51.5% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.04 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.17 | 46.2% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.07 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.04 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.09 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.12 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.04 | 71.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 1.57 | −1.4 | 40:00 | |
| W | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.40 | +0.4 | 21:16 |