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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 8, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 78% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Reasoner–Samsonov–BoothSantorelli–Skille–DadonovBergfors–Matthias–RepikRissmiller–Kennedy–ThomasBergfors–Thomas–RepikRissmiller–Booth–KennedyBergfors–Kennedy–RepikSantorelli–Skille–BergforsCallahan–WilsonGarrison–KulikovWeaver–EllerbyWeaver–GarrisonEllerby–KulikovCallahan–GarrisonWeaver–Kulikov
Gagne–Malone–Stamkos1:440.12–0.000:530.03–0.054:130.36–0.080:400.00–0.040:590.00–0.000:370.00–0.054:090.20–0.050:400.00–0.043:290.31–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Purcell4:370.45–0.130:560.01–0.030:560.00–0.001:080.00–0.001:060.00–0.022:420.01–0.052:230.02–0.131:030.50–0.04
Moore–Bergenheim–Downie0:590.00–0.030:550.00–0.022:440.04–0.200:300.00–0.010:540.00–0.004:530.08–0.141:020.00–0.030:300.00–0.01
Hall–Thompson–Tyrell4:520.23–0.121:120.00–0.320:350.01–0.001:450.03–0.322:010.20–0.012:170.01–0.070:320.00–0.04
Malone–Downie–Purcell0:580.12–0.00
Kubina–Bergeron1:540.00–0.004:390.22–0.042:020.11–0.200:450.00–0.001:030.03–0.000:340.00–0.063:190.07–0.111:230.05–0.001:290.00–0.002:530.10–0.072:230.22–0.000:410.00–0.02
Brewer–Lundin6:130.00–0.151:300.00–0.000:460.15–0.000:320.00–0.000:540.00–0.003:020.00–0.003:080.00–0.051:340.00–0.012:040.00–0.111:280.15–0.04
Ohlund–Clark1:350.03–0.002:450.49–0.130:550.00–0.051:100.00–0.042:580.09–0.022:060.00–0.051:140.02–0.130:580.44–0.00
Kubina–Lundin0:560.01–0.031:240.01–0.05
Brewer–Bergeron0:330.03–0.000:480.14–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHall FTyrell FThompson FSt. Louis FLecavalier FPurcell FMalone FGagne FStamkos FDownie FBergenheim FMoore FBrewer DLundin DOhlund DClark DKubina DBergeron DRoloson GBooth FSamsonov FReasoner FSantorelli FSkille FDadonov FBergfors FMatthias FRepik FKennedy FRissmiller FThomas FWeaver DGarrison DWilson DCallahan DEllerby DKulikov DClemmensen G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Eric BrewerTBL3326:520:491:30611
Jason GarrisonFLA3025:290:511:4029
Dmitry KulikovFLA2824:240:521:4975
Mike LundinTBL3022:250:451:30210
Marty ReasonerFLA2621:520:501:5487
Sergei SamsonovFLA2220:270:561:4985
Pavel KubinaTBL2520:030:481:3955
David BoothFLA2319:530:521:4473
Mike SantorelliFLA2418:530:471:3741
Mike WeaverFLA2618:500:431:1825
Clay WilsonFLA2118:180:521:5142
Martin St. LouisTBL2217:560:491:4941
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2317:440:461:3952
Joe CallahanFLA2417:330:441:5543
Vincent LecavalierTBL2316:280:431:4942
Jack SkilleFLA2216:250:451:3132
Steven StamkosTBL1816:240:551:4041
Mattias OhlundTBL3116:090:311:2136
Nate ThompsonTBL2415:430:391:1339
Keaton EllerbyFLA2315:320:411:0543
Niclas BergforsFLA1815:150:511:3833
Adam HallTBL2215:120:411:2829
Ryan MaloneTBL2015:080:451:4060
Simon GagneTBL1814:490:491:4061
Evgenii DadonovFLA2014:290:431:1431
Brett ClarkTBL2814:260:310:5535
Teddy PurcellTBL1813:480:461:3522
Michal RepikFLA1813:360:451:3833
Dominic MooreTBL2013:200:401:4713
Sean BergenheimTBL1611:560:451:5312
Bill ThomasFLA1911:040:351:0517
Dana TyrellTBL1711:010:391:1716
Steve DownieTBL1410:370:461:4742
Tim KennedyFLA178:330:300:5914
Shawn MatthiasFLA108:110:491:3822
Patrick RissmillerFLA158:010:321:1213