Tue, Oct 18, 2011·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
10%
38%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:27 | 0.48 | 45.8% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:25 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.34 | 43.8% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.01 | 16.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:08 | 0.02 | 39.3% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.06 | 45.7% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.07 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.24 | 39.3% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.00 | 44.1% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.03 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 6.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.02 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:00 | 0.25 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.03 | 41.6% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.68 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.04 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:40 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:50 | 0.19 | 69.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 40 | 1 | .976 | 2.64 | +1.6 | 59:47 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 25:00 | 0.09 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:02 | 0.11 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:55 | 0.21 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:55 | 0.16 | 59.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 9 | 19:51 | 0.72 | 64.9% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.14 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.20 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:08 | 0.27 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.00 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.11 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.07 | 77.0% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.02 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.21 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.01 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.05 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:39 | 0.14 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:04 | 0.01 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:21 | 0.11 | 89.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 1.41 | −0.6 | 59:14 |