Mon, Nov 14, 2011·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 58% of the time.
49%
9%
9%
32%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 24:28 | 0.14 | 44.5% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:22 | 0.21 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 22:33 | 0.18 | 55.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:14 | 0.00 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.06 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.04 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:58 | 0.66 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.06 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:47 | 0.74 | 45.3% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.04 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.05 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.03 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:12 | 0.07 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.02 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.03 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:08 | 0.01 | 90.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:05 | 0.15 | 86.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.96 | +1.0 | 64:35 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:37 | 0.15 | 15.5% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:35 | 0.05 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:40 | 0.00 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24:26 | 0.16 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.42 | 65.6% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.10 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.46 | 63.5% | +31.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 19:28 | 0.93 | 68.7% | +31.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:41 | 0.10 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.36 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.01 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:58 | 0.17 | 84.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.04 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.02 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:47 | 0.00 | 78.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.49 | +0.5 | 65:00 |