Fri, Nov 25, 2011·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Buffalo Sabres 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
8%
22%
CBJ winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Roy–Stafford–Leino | Hecht–Pominville–Vanek | Gaustad–Gerbe–Tropp | Ellis–Adam–Kassian | Gaustad–Ellis–Tropp | Vanek–Adam–Kassian | Hecht–Pominville–Gerbe | Roy–Vanek–Stafford | Roy–Leino–Kassian | Hecht–Gerbe–Kassian | Ehrhoff–Sekera | Regehr–Leopold | Gragnani–Brennan | Sekera–Gragnani | Leopold–Ehrhoff | Ehrhoff–Brennan | Sekera–Brennan | Leopold–Brennan | Leopold–Gragnani | Ehrhoff–Gragnani | Leopold–Sekera | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prospal–Nash–Carter | 6:180.12–0.59 | 1:120.00–0.11 | 0:550.09–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.06 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 2:230.00–0.19 | 3:040.09–0.17 | 0:560.03–0.07 | 1:010.13–0.00 | 2:100.00–0.22 | 1:540.09–0.06 | 0:590.00–0.11 | ||||||||
| Pahlsson–Vermette–Dorsett | 1:210.02–0.00 | 4:360.12–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:160.08–0.00 | 0:530.11–0.00 | 1:580.06–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.11 | 0:500.00–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.06 | |||||||||||
| MacKenzie–Boll–Brassard | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:110.13–0.00 | 0:380.04–0.00 | 3:030.03–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:240.04–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 3:270.16–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:300.11–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Umberger–Letestu–Johansen | 1:140.00–0.01 | 3:180.02–0.03 | 0:400.01–0.07 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:310.06–0.00 | 2:430.17–0.03 | 2:120.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:400.01–0.07 | 1:080.14–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tyutin–Nikitin | 0:470.00–0.00 | 5:260.25–0.06 | 1:380.06–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.09 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 4:010.21–0.03 | 1:500.13–0.00 | 1:290.20–0.03 | 1:250.05–0.00 | 1:160.01–0.03 | 2:130.00–0.06 | 1:020.14–0.02 | 0:370.02–0.05 | 0:380.00–0.06 | |||||
| Wisniewski–Methot | 5:430.12–0.51 | 2:160.02–0.12 | 1:190.33–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.16 | 3:260.05–0.17 | 1:440.03–0.00 | 0:450.08–0.00 | 2:230.02–0.19 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 0:550.33–0.03 | 1:130.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Clitsome–Moore | 2:280.00–0.08 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 2:430.02–0.03 | 3:100.01–0.01 | 1:440.00–0.07 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.03 | 1:340.02–0.00 | 3:040.01–0.08 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.04 | 0:420.00–0.07 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Wisniewski–Nikitin | 0:430.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CBJBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 32 | 27:15 | 0:51 | 2:01 | 3 | 4 |
 James WisniewskiCBJ | 26 | 25:14 | 0:58 | 1:46 | 2 | 4 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 31 | 23:39 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 1 | 4 |
 Nikita NikitinCBJ | 28 | 23:33 | 0:50 | 2:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 28 | 22:41 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 5 | 2 |
 Fedor TyutinCBJ | 26 | 21:12 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Jeff CarterCBJ | 24 | 20:08 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 3 | 5 |
 Derek RoyBUF | 23 | 19:01 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF | 28 | 19:01 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 4 | 4 |
 Rick NashCBJ | 24 | 18:47 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 3 | 5 |
 Vinny ProspalCBJ | 22 | 18:44 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 3 | 4 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 23 | 18:19 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 4 | 3 |
 Grant ClitsomeCBJ | 24 | 17:44 | 0:44 | 1:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Marc MethotCBJ | 22 | 17:41 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 0 | 3 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 22 | 17:16 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 TJ BrennanBUF | 22 | 17:07 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 21 | 16:34 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 7 | 0 |
 Antoine VermetteCBJ | 28 | 16:05 | 0:34 | 1:07 | 1 | 7 |
 Ville LeinoBUF | 18 | 15:44 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 2 | 1 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 20 | 15:44 | 0:47 | 1:04 | 3 | 0 |
 John MooreCBJ | 21 | 14:53 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Derek DorsettCBJ | 23 | 14:11 | 0:37 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Samuel PahlssonCBJ | 25 | 13:53 | 0:33 | 0:56 | 1 | 6 |
 R.J. UmbergerCBJ | 22 | 13:35 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Mark LetestuCBJ | 20 | 13:06 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 20 | 12:34 | 0:38 | 0:52 | 0 | 4 |
 Luke AdamBUF | 18 | 12:11 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan JohansenCBJ | 19 | 11:48 | 0:37 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Zack KassianBUF | 19 | 11:43 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 4 | 1 |
 Jared BollCBJ | 15 | 11:30 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 |
 Derick BrassardCBJ | 15 | 11:23 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 18 | 11:08 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 15 | 10:42 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 0 | 0 |
 Derek MacKenzieCBJ | 15 | 10:37 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 3 | 0 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 15 | 10:35 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 1 | 4 |
 Corey TroppBUF | 13 | 10:17 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 0 | 0 |