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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 14, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Boston Bruins 5, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.

OTT winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Horton–Krejci–LucicBergeron–Marchand–SeguinKelly–Peverley–PouliotThornton–Paille–HamillCorvo–FerenceSeidenberg–BoychukMcQuaid–KampferCorvo–SeidenbergFerence–McQuaidFerence–BoychukFerence–KampferSeidenberg–McQuaidSeidenberg–KampferCorvo–Kampfer
Regin–Foligno–Butler1:370.04–0.001:000.00–0.053:240.03–0.041:570.00–0.131:090.04–0.042:050.04–0.173:440.00–0.240:400.00–0.001:230.03–0.001:080.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:550.01–0.180:550.00–0.00
Alfredsson–Spezza–Greening2:410.20–0.092:270.12–0.152:080.03–0.271:060.00–0.022:010.08–0.025:580.18–0.510:470.00–0.000:320.15–0.000:360.03–0.00
Neil–Condra–Smith2:340.11–0.014:400.21–0.064:440.29–0.071:240.25–0.001:180.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:350.02–0.000:370.02–0.00
Konopka–Daugavins–Winchester2:460.19–0.111:000.04–0.022:250.06–0.142:280.04–0.061:000.01–0.000:480.00–0.010:430.04–0.000:500.00–0.090:510.05–0.080:520.19–0.02
Regin–Greening–Foligno0:330.02–0.040:390.00–0.00
Karlsson–Cowen2:110.20–0.036:200.21–0.040:300.01–0.003:060.08–0.043:060.12–0.032:240.25–0.160:580.04–0.000:500.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:440.19–0.00
Phillips–Carkner3:450.15–0.040:390.00–0.011:010.05–0.082:090.00–0.011:040.01–0.042:280.06–0.000:400.15–0.000:380.00–0.000:550.05–0.08
Lee–Cowen1:450.11–0.011:100.00–0.021:350.01–0.020:370.00–0.130:480.09–0.011:240.00–0.190:460.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:280.02–0.020:550.00–0.00
Carkner–Lee1:100.00–0.001:040.00–0.021:400.08–0.021:090.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Phillips–Lee1:140.01–0.020:560.00–0.040:330.00–0.001:070.01–0.040:590.00–0.00
Phillips–Rundblad0:390.03–0.001:000.00–0.000:500.07–0.020:310.03–0.00
Phillips–Cowen0:490.04–0.040:340.00–0.09
Lee–Rundblad0:450.00–0.001:220.00–0.08
Karlsson–Rundblad1:040.01–0.01
Carkner–Rundblad0:420.00–0.240:520.00–0.010:420.00–0.240:310.00–0.01
Phillips–Karlsson0:330.01–0.060:540.13–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FCondra FNeil FAlfredsson FGreening FSpezza FRegin FButler FFoligno FWinchester FDaugavins FKonopka FCowen DKarlsson DPhillips DCarkner DLee DRundblad DAnderson GSeguin FBergeron FMarchand FLucic FHorton FKrejci FPeverley FKelly FPouliot FHamill FPaille FThornton FFerence DBoychuk DMcQuaid DSeidenberg DCorvo DKampfer DThomas G
OTTBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Andrew FerenceBOS3127:330:531:4133
Jared CowenOTT3027:060:541:4732
Dennis SeidenbergBOS3224:130:451:28210
Erik KarlssonOTT2424:111:001:4731
Johnny BoychukBOS3121:580:432:01311
Chris PhillipsOTT2820:190:441:2792
Joe CorvoBOS2620:110:471:4421
Nick FolignoOTT2520:050:481:2243
Brian LeeOTT2519:230:471:3632
Daniel AlfredssonOTT2318:390:491:39101
Peter ReginOTT2418:360:471:1453
Jason SpezzaOTT2318:230:481:58102
David KrejciBOS2317:220:451:2813
Chris KellyBOS2617:010:391:0755
Chris NeilOTT2015:430:471:3232
Brad MarchandBOS2315:170:401:2313
Patrice BergeronBOS2515:160:371:0915
Matt CarknerOTT2015:150:461:1735
Colin GreeningOTT2215:140:421:2181
Bobby ButlerOTT2115:010:431:0911
Rich PeverleyBOS2314:450:381:1949
Steven KampferBOS1813:560:461:2710
Tyler SeguinBOS1813:540:461:2414
Nathan HortonBOS1713:480:491:3100
David RundbladOTT1613:460:521:4730
Milan LucicBOS1613:080:491:2811
Zack SmithOTT2113:020:371:0423
Zach HamillBOS1712:480:451:1321
Daniel PailleBOS1712:400:451:3131
Adam McQuaidBOS2012:100:371:2301
Benoit PouliotBOS1812:090:411:0442
Erik CondraOTT1711:350:411:1312
Kaspars DaugavinsOTT1710:560:391:0942
Shawn ThorntonBOS1710:510:381:1020
Zenon KonopkaOTT1710:380:381:0162
Jesse WinchesterOTT1610:080:380:5653