Fri, Dec 30, 2011·Verizon Center, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 1, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
16%
8%
68%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:58 | 0.03 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:49 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.02 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.04 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.00 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:37 | 0.90 | 81.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.20 | 82.4% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.07 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.34 | 78.0% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.15 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.12 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.21 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.19 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:14 | 0.44 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.03 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.04 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.07 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:23 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.42 | −1.6 | 58:29 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 24:39 | 0.10 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:38 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:08 | 0.01 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.17 | 34.7% | +22.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:59 | 0.36 | 45.8% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.15 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.02 | 43.4% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.14 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.07 | 38.4% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.03 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.07 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.05 | 12.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.18 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:07 | 0.05 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:35 | 0.02 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.85 | +1.9 | 59:57 |