Fri, Dec 30, 2011·Verizon Center, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 1, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
16%
8%
68%
WSH winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hecht–Pominville–Vanek | Gaustad–Ellis–Kassian | Roy–Stafford–Kaleta | Boyes–McCormick–Adam | Boyes–Roy–Stafford | Gaustad–McCormick–Kaleta | Ellis–Adam–Kassian | Boyes–Stafford–Kaleta | Hecht–Ellis–Kassian | Regehr–Weber | Leopold–Gragnani | Leopold–McNabb | Gragnani–McNabb | Regehr–Leopold | Weber–McNabb | Ehrhoff–McNabb | Gragnani–Weber | Leopold–Weber | Ehrhoff–Gragnani | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semin–Ovechkin–Backstrom | 1:090.00–0.06 | 6:080.13–0.11 | 1:180.00–0.04 | 1:320.02–0.03 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 1:320.03–0.00 | 0:470.02–0.05 | 6:530.28–0.33 | 0:380.00–0.04 | 2:520.02–0.09 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 2:420.08–0.04 | |||||||
| Chimera–Ward–Laich | 9:070.20–0.99 | 0:570.00–0.13 | 0:340.00–0.16 | 2:160.03–0.00 | 1:300.06–0.02 | 1:380.02–0.52 | 2:030.00–0.16 | 2:020.00–0.57 | 1:110.09–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Halpern–Brouwer–Johansson | 0:310.00–0.00 | 3:360.01–0.06 | 1:280.09–0.05 | 2:080.02–0.00 | 1:280.01–0.00 | 3:070.00–0.11 | 0:400.00–0.06 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Knuble–Hendricks–Beagle | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:070.18–0.00 | 2:460.00–0.14 | 1:010.02–0.00 | 1:360.18–0.00 | 2:220.02–0.04 | 1:050.00–0.10 | ||||||||||||
| Knuble–Halpern–Johansson | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Knuble–Ward–Laich | 0:330.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:330.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Laich–Brouwer–Johansson | |||||||||||||||||||
| Alzner–Carlson | 11:080.15–1.04 | 1:270.00–0.13 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 1:270.13–0.00 | 3:060.07–0.00 | 3:040.00–0.02 | 3:200.08–0.52 | 2:110.00–0.00 | 2:450.00–0.57 | 1:330.09–0.00 | 0:360.15–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hamrlik–Wideman | 1:020.06–0.06 | 1:040.06–0.00 | 3:180.01–0.06 | 1:510.02–0.14 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:240.03–0.00 | 2:170.02–0.00 | 3:430.14–0.21 | 0:590.06–0.04 | 1:380.04–0.03 | 1:020.00–0.10 | 1:520.04–0.01 | 0:520.12–0.12 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||
| Erskine–Orlov | 3:340.22–0.19 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:270.05–0.05 | 3:000.20–0.06 | 3:220.02–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 2:010.04–0.04 | |||||||||
| Wideman–Orlov | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Wideman–Alzner | 0:420.09–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:370.09–0.12 | ||||||||||||||||
| Hamrlik–Orlov | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Erskine–Carlson | 0:490.00–0.16 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 34 | 25:58 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 3 | 5 |
 Dennis WidemanWSH | 27 | 24:39 | 0:55 | 1:55 | 3 | 7 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 29 | 22:49 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 2 | 5 |
 Karl AlznerWSH | 26 | 22:38 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 3 | 2 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 27 | 22:08 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Brayden McNabbBUF | 30 | 21:29 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 1 | 2 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 29 | 21:25 | 0:44 | 2:09 | 3 | 6 |
 Nicklas BackstromWSH | 21 | 20:32 | 0:59 | 1:56 | 2 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 18 | 19:59 | 1:07 | 2:32 | 2 | 1 |
 Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF | 25 | 19:54 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 1 | 2 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 21 | 19:37 | 0:56 | 1:47 | 2 | 3 |
 Brooks LaichWSH | 27 | 18:50 | 0:42 | 1:47 | 3 | 4 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 21 | 18:34 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 2 | 4 |
 Roman HamrlikWSH | 26 | 18:31 | 0:43 | 1:53 | 0 | 6 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 23 | 17:40 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 4 | 2 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 20 | 17:35 | 0:53 | 1:07 | 4 | 1 |
 Alexander SeminWSH | 20 | 17:12 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 19 | 17:02 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 2 | 2 |
 Zack KassianBUF | 17 | 16:18 | 0:58 | 1:34 | 1 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 18 | 16:14 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 5 | 1 |
 Troy BrouwerWSH | 22 | 16:02 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 4 | 3 |
 Joel WardWSH | 23 | 15:31 | 0:40 | 1:43 | 3 | 3 |
 Derek RoyBUF | 17 | 15:28 | 0:55 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 20 | 15:17 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 3 | 3 |
 Jason ChimeraWSH | 21 | 14:38 | 0:42 | 1:43 | 2 | 3 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 20 | 13:51 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 1 | 4 |
 Jeff HalpernWSH | 21 | 13:34 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 5 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 16 | 13:14 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 1 | 3 |
 Brad BoyesBUF | 17 | 13:06 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 4 | 1 |
 John ErskineWSH | 16 | 12:36 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 1 |
 Mike KnubleWSH | 14 | 11:37 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Luke AdamBUF | 13 | 10:22 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 11 | 8:54 | 0:49 | 1:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Matt HendricksWSH | 12 | 8:07 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Jay BeagleWSH | 11 | 7:35 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 8 | 7:23 | 0:55 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |