Thu, Jan 12, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
9%
39%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Bryan AllenD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:48 | 0.01 | 29.8% | 0.0 |
 Tim GleasonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:23 | 0.00 | 31.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin FaulkD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:16 | 0.00 | 64.9% | +15.7 |
 Jay HarrisonD · #44 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:40 | 0.08 | 66.3% | +18.1 |
 Eric StaalC · #12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.20 | 68.4% | +38.4 |
 Tuomo RuutuLW · #15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.19 | 65.8% | +39.8 |
 Jamie McBainD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Jiri TlustyLW · #19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 16:54 | 0.74 | 67.0% | +38.4 |
 Brandon SutterC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.12 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Patrick DwyerRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.13 | 57.6% | 0.0 |
 Jussi JokinenLW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.06 | 20.4% | 0.0 |
 Alexei PonikarovskyLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.07 | 30.8% | 0.0 |
 Andreas NodlRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
 Jaroslav SpacekD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.12 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
 Jerome SamsonRW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:56 | 0.14 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
 Tim BrentC · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 10:14 | 0.19 | 37.2% | +2.4 |
 Brett SutterLW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.12 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
 Anthony StewartRW · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 39.0% | +2.4 |
 Cam Ward#30 | W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 2.25 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.08 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:55 | 0.06 | 27.3% | +9.4 |
 Pavel KubinaD · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.01 | 35.7% | 0.0 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.05 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Brett ClarkD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.02 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
 Vincent LecavalierC · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.09 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 Dominic MooreC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.07 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Steve DownieRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.16 | 68.9% | 0.0 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.19 | 56.1% | +15.5 |
 Ryan MaloneLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.59 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.03 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:28 | 0.20 | 45.6% | +9.4 |
 Bruno GervaisD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.07 | 77.8% | +9.4 |
 Tom PyattLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:15 | 0.20 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Matt GilroyD · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.06 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Brendan MikkelsonD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.03 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Dana TyrellC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:50 | 0.23 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
 Brett ConnollyRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:44 | 0.11 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Dwayne Roloson#30 | – | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.49 | −0.5 | 44:50 |
 Mathieu Garon#32 | L | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 0.70 | −2.3 | 15:10 |