Thu, Jan 12, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
9%
39%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ruutu–Staal–Tlusty | Dwyer–Nodl–Sutter | Ponikarovsky–Jokinen–Samson | Brent–Stewart–Sutter | Allen–Gleason | Harrison–Faulk | Spacek–McBain | Allen–McBain | Gleason–Faulk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 1:060.00–0.07 | 3:120.06–0.09 | 1:130.12–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.07 | 4:030.09–0.12 | 0:390.10–0.00 | |||
| Thompson–Pyatt–Tyrell | 1:390.07–0.37 | 2:040.06–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:260.07–0.09 | 1:530.08–0.38 | ||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | 0:520.03–0.25 | 2:010.00–0.08 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 3:450.05–0.08 | |||||
| St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos | 1:160.03–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 2:310.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.03 | 0:300.03–0.00 | |||
| Lecavalier–Malone–Moore | 1:570.11–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.03 | 2:190.11–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.11 | |||||
| Lecavalier–Moore–Connolly | 1:230.00–0.20 | 0:330.03–0.00 | 0:370.07–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.20 | 0:540.07–0.00 | 1:020.03–0.02 | |||
| Thompson–Pyatt–Connolly | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:540.22–0.05 | 0:300.13–0.00 | 0:570.02–0.00 | 1:150.07–0.05 | ||||
| Thompson–Downie–Pyatt | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:430.10–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:080.10–0.07 | |||||
| Malone–Thompson–Pyatt | 1:210.39–0.07 | 1:050.39–0.03 | |||||||
| Malone–Moore–Downie | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:090.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Lecavalier–Moore–Purcell | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.03 | |||||||
| St. Louis–Downie–Purcell | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Downie–Tyrell–Stamkos | 0:510.00–0.08 | 1:040.00–0.12 | |||||||
| St. Louis–Malone–Purcell | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Lecavalier–Moore–Stamkos | 0:360.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Kubina–Brewer | 7:070.40–0.69 | 1:290.02–0.01 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 3:580.03–0.20 | 4:060.09–0.19 | 3:520.39–0.41 | ||
| Bergeron–Gervais | 0:480.03–0.02 | 3:530.15–0.00 | 1:240.42–0.04 | 1:450.09–0.00 | 3:160.51–0.00 | 2:590.04–0.02 | 1:360.07–0.07 | 0:300.09–0.00 | |
| Clark–Gilroy | 1:230.00–0.09 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:510.13–0.05 | 2:130.17–0.16 | 2:140.13–0.03 | 3:310.07–0.32 | 1:170.10–0.00 | ||
| Clark–Mikkelson | 0:310.08–0.07 | 2:000.00–0.13 | 2:120.12–0.05 | 0:510.03–0.02 | 2:570.12–0.04 | 1:030.03–0.00 | 1:440.08–0.22 | ||
| Kubina–Mikkelson | 1:540.04–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.07 | 1:480.00–0.07 | 1:000.10–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||
| Brewer–Gervais | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:440.06–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.06 | 1:010.06–0.00 | |||
| Brewer–Gilroy | 1:080.07–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.05 | 0:560.07–0.00 | |||||
| Clark–Bergeron | 1:000.00–0.04 | 0:370.03–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.04 | 0:400.03–0.00 | |||||
| Mikkelson–Gilroy | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Gervais–Mikkelson | 0:440.02–0.07 | 0:550.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Kubina–Bergeron | 0:450.00–0.25 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.25 | ||||||
| Clark–Gervais | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Kubina–Gilroy | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Bryan AllenCAR | 30 | 23:48 | 0:48 | 2:23 | 3 | 7 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 31 | 23:23 | 0:45 | 2:08 | 5 | 7 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 23 | 21:59 | 0:57 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 21:55 | 0:57 | 2:16 | 7 | 3 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 30 | 21:16 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 27 | 20:59 | 0:47 | 2:00 | 3 | 6 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 26 | 20:05 | 0:46 | 2:00 | 1 | 5 |
 Jay HarrisonCAR | 29 | 19:40 | 0:41 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 25 | 19:36 | 0:47 | 1:45 | 6 | 2 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 29 | 19:00 | 0:39 | 1:29 | 4 | 4 |
 Tuomo RuutuCAR | 28 | 18:53 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 4 | 2 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 21 | 18:22 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 7 | 2 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 21 | 18:00 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 7 | 1 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 19 | 17:46 | 0:56 | 2:03 | 2 | 2 |
 Jamie McBainCAR | 25 | 17:12 | 0:41 | 1:43 | 2 | 1 |
 Jiri TlustyCAR | 27 | 16:54 | 0:38 | 1:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Brandon SutterCAR | 24 | 16:41 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 2 | 4 |
 Patrick DwyerCAR | 25 | 16:14 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 2 | 4 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 22 | 16:13 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Jussi JokinenCAR | 26 | 15:39 | 0:36 | 1:22 | 4 | 3 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 18 | 15:36 | 0:52 | 1:38 | 2 | 2 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronTBL | 20 | 15:29 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 6 | 1 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 19 | 15:28 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Alexei PonikarovskyCAR | 21 | 14:59 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 3 | 0 |
 Andreas NodlCAR | 21 | 14:57 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Jaroslav SpacekCAR | 22 | 14:50 | 0:40 | 1:43 | 3 | 1 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 21 | 14:40 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 4 | 4 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 19 | 14:15 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 0 | 3 |
 Jerome SamsonCAR | 21 | 13:56 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 4 | 0 |
 Matt GilroyTBL | 17 | 13:48 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 1 | 2 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 18 | 13:15 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 16 | 10:50 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 0 | 2 |
 Tim BrentCAR | 19 | 10:14 | 0:32 | 1:07 | 4 | 1 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 15 | 9:44 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 3 | 0 |
 Brett SutterCAR | 19 | 9:18 | 0:29 | 1:02 | 4 | 1 |
 Anthony StewartCAR | 18 | 9:06 | 0:30 | 0:54 | 4 | 1 |