Tue, Jan 17, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Boston Bruins 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
62%
9%
22%
TBL winsBOS wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bergeron–Pouliot–Seguin | Horton–Krejci–Lucic | Thornton–Campbell–Paille | Kelly–Hamill–Caron | Kelly–Pouliot–Seguin | Seidenberg–McQuaid | Chara–Boychuk | Corvo–Seidenberg | Seidenberg–Boychuk | Ference–Boychuk | Chara–McQuaid | Corvo–Ference | Ference–McQuaid | Chara–Ference | Chara–Corvo | Chara–Seidenberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Pyatt | 2:350.07–0.13 | 1:440.10–0.12 | 1:500.00–0.01 | 2:180.00–0.05 | 1:450.17–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.07 | 0:400.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Downie–Purcell–Stamkos | 1:130.02–0.00 | 1:340.06–0.30 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.10 | 0:390.06–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | 1:140.11–0.00 | 0:390.10–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:390.10–0.00 | 0:460.11–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Malone–Thompson–Stamkos | 1:210.09–0.00 | 0:440.04–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Malone–Smith–Stamkos | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Malone–Moore–Thompson | 1:050.02–0.00 | 0:300.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Purcell | 1:200.03–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Moore–Thompson–Downie | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Malone–Stamkos–Connolly | 0:390.00–0.14 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.14 | |||||||||||||
| Malone–Moore–Downie | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Malone–Thompson–Pyatt | 1:010.00–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||
| Moore–Thompson–Connolly | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Malone | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Kubina–Brewer | 2:180.02–0.00 | 6:470.60–0.44 | 2:020.00–0.10 | 1:320.10–0.00 | 3:020.00–0.08 | 2:220.10–0.00 | 1:210.40–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.28 | 1:320.06–0.05 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:350.07–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.10 | 1:040.08–0.04 | ||
| Clark–Gilroy | 6:060.10–0.26 | 1:320.10–0.00 | 1:110.05–0.01 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.04 | 2:230.02–0.05 | 1:560.10–0.14 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.02 | 1:080.02–0.09 | 1:190.05–0.01 | 1:140.11–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |
| Gervais–Mikkelson | 2:030.11–0.01 | 5:050.07–0.00 | 1:580.21–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.00 | 2:230.10–0.10 | 1:150.21–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.00 | 0:540.02–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 0:380.04–0.01 | |||||
| Brewer–Gilroy | 0:460.31–0.09 | 0:470.00–0.13 | 0:590.31–0.09 | |||||||||||||
| Kubina–Gervais | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Zdeno CharaBOS | 33 | 26:14 | 0:48 | 3:14 | 5 | 6 |
 Dennis SeidenbergBOS | 31 | 26:07 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 8 | 2 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 32 | 23:59 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 2 | 7 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 31 | 23:31 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 25 | 22:11 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 5 | 4 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 24 | 21:46 | 0:54 | 2:04 | 2 | 7 |
 Matt GilroyTBL | 28 | 21:16 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 2 | 5 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 25 | 21:07 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 3 | 5 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 26 | 20:38 | 0:48 | 1:54 | 4 | 5 |
 Patrice BergeronBOS | 25 | 20:18 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 4 | 5 |
 Tyler SeguinBOS | 21 | 19:25 | 0:55 | 1:40 | 6 | 2 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 25 | 19:11 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 0 | 5 |
 Johnny BoychukBOS | 26 | 19:09 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 7 | 3 |
 Andrew FerenceBOS | 26 | 18:44 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 5 | 6 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 26 | 18:23 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Benoit PouliotBOS | 20 | 18:03 | 0:54 | 1:18 | 5 | 3 |
 David KrejciBOS | 25 | 17:32 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 7 | 1 |
 Adam McQuaidBOS | 23 | 17:31 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 3 | 0 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 18 | 17:19 | 0:58 | 1:53 | 2 | 0 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 22 | 16:00 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 23 | 15:26 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 2 | 8 |
 Chris KellyBOS | 22 | 15:15 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 2 | 5 |
 Milan LucicBOS | 22 | 15:07 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 6 | 1 |
 Gregory CampbellBOS | 19 | 14:03 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Nathan HortonBOS | 20 | 13:31 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 7 | 0 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 17 | 12:47 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 4 | 4 |
 Joe CorvoBOS | 17 | 12:39 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Daniel PailleBOS | 17 | 12:38 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 18 | 12:16 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 17 | 11:04 | 0:39 | 0:54 | 3 | 2 |
 Shawn ThorntonBOS | 14 | 10:35 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 4 | 0 |
 Zach HamillBOS | 12 | 8:35 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 9 | 6:45 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 2 | 1 |
 Jordan CaronBOS | 8 | 5:18 | 0:40 | 0:53 | 1 | 0 |
 Trevor SmithTBL | 7 | 4:53 | 0:42 | 0:55 | 0 | 0 |
 Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL | 6 | 3:35 | 0:36 | 0:52 | 0 | 0 |