Fri, Jan 20, 2012·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Dallas Stars 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
36%
10%
9%
45%
DAL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Malone–Purcell–Stamkos | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Thompson | Moore–Downie–Tyrell | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Purcell | Malone–Thompson–Stamkos | Moore–Thompson–Tyrell | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Downie | Moore–Smith–Tyrell | Thompson–Tyrell–Labrie | Smith–Labrie–Connolly | St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos | Purcell–Labrie–Stamkos | Malone–Thompson–Downie | Malone–Downie–Stamkos | Kubina–Brewer | Gervais–Mikkelson | Clark–Gilroy | Brewer–Gilroy | Brewer–Gervais | Clark–Kubina | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morrow–Eriksson–Wandell | 2:430.46–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 1:220.01–0.00 | 1:040.02–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.13 | 0:320.00–0.17 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 5:000.53–0.27 | 2:570.00–0.18 | 2:030.11–0.00 | 1:110.02–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Petersen–Dowell–Vincour | 1:100.15–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.08 | 1:000.00–0.03 | 2:520.15–0.11 | 1:420.01–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Dvorak–Ott–Burish | 1:310.00–0.01 | 0:520.02–0.16 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:470.20–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 2:510.00–0.17 | 1:300.10–0.00 | 0:380.10–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ryder–Fiddler–Nystrom | 0:540.06–0.03 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 0:420.07–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.32 | 1:320.00–0.03 | 1:280.05–0.01 | 2:490.13–0.32 | ||||||||||||
| Ryder–Fiddler–Vincour | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:000.05–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:020.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Ott–Burish–Nystrom | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:430.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Dvorak–Fiddler–Nystrom | 0:360.06–0.00 | 0:420.06–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Ryder–Ott–Burish | 1:000.14–0.18 | 0:340.14–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Morrow–Ott–Eriksson | 1:000.02–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Daley–Grossmann | 1:220.07–0.04 | 3:200.02–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 1:100.02–0.00 | 0:550.07–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.08 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 4:360.02–0.11 | 5:070.06–0.02 | 2:530.16–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:530.09–0.00 | |||||
| Souray–Robidas | 2:380.16–0.19 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.16 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:300.15–0.13 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 3:330.15–0.27 | 3:250.14–0.34 | 2:390.00–0.32 | 0:500.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Fistric–Goligoski | 2:310.48–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:420.06–0.00 | 1:180.01–0.21 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.04 | 2:180.45–0.16 | 2:350.00–0.01 | 4:040.06–0.00 | 1:350.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Daley–Goligoski | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.04–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:380.05–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Robidas–Goligoski | 0:490.05–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DALTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Eric BrewerTBL | 35 | 25:19 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 4 | 6 |
 Alex GoligoskiDAL | 28 | 24:45 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 6 | 3 |
 Trevor DaleyDAL | 29 | 24:32 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 5 | 6 |
 Loui ErikssonDAL | 24 | 22:57 | 0:57 | 1:40 | 7 | 3 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 31 | 22:37 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 4 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 25 | 21:51 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 2 | 4 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 23 | 20:59 | 0:55 | 2:13 | 4 | 6 |
 Stephane RobidasDAL | 27 | 20:36 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 7 | 2 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 24 | 20:11 | 0:50 | 1:47 | 6 | 2 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 23 | 20:06 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 2 | 5 |
 Brenden MorrowDAL | 22 | 19:37 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 6 | 2 |
 Nicklas GrossmannDAL | 23 | 18:44 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 1 | 6 |
 Tom WandellDAL | 21 | 18:27 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 5 | 2 |
 Matt GilroyTBL | 26 | 18:26 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 0 | 2 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 24 | 18:23 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 6 | 3 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 22 | 18:13 | 0:50 | 2:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Sheldon SourayDAL | 26 | 18:03 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 6 | 3 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 28 | 17:23 | 0:37 | 1:02 | 0 | 3 |
 Steve OttDAL | 21 | 17:15 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 8 | 3 |
 Vernon FiddlerDAL | 22 | 16:41 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 20 | 16:27 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 5 | 3 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 21 | 15:45 | 0:45 | 1:59 | 5 | 2 |
 Michael RyderDAL | 20 | 15:32 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 20 | 14:27 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Adam BurishDAL | 17 | 13:41 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 6 | 3 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 18 | 13:27 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 5 | 1 |
 Mark FistricDAL | 20 | 13:26 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 2 | 4 |
 Eric NystromDAL | 16 | 13:18 | 0:50 | 1:49 | 3 | 2 |
 Radek DvorakDAL | 16 | 12:32 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 2 | 5 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 17 | 11:16 | 0:40 | 1:27 | 5 | 1 |
 Tomas VincourDAL | 11 | 9:23 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 2 | 0 |
 Jake DowellDAL | 10 | 7:59 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 |
 Toby PetersenDAL | 9 | 7:23 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 1 | 0 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 11 | 6:28 | 0:35 | 1:27 | 2 | 0 |
 Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL | 7 | 6:01 | 0:52 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Trevor SmithTBL | 6 | 4:41 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 0 | 0 |