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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 24, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsCBJ wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CBJ's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Prospal–Vermette–NashUmberger–Brassard–JohansenPahlsson–Russell–DorsettMacKenzie–Boll–GilliesTyutin–LebdaMethot–MooreJohnson–ClitsomeJohnson–Methot
Moore–Thompson–Smith6:330.51–0.180:310.00–0.002:030.15–0.113:280.30–0.012:080.08–0.06
St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos0:390.00–0.020:430.00–0.052:560.00–0.261:230.00–0.003:130.00–0.203:060.00–0.13
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Purcell1:170.02–0.050:590.00–0.030:350.00–0.001:000.00–0.031:120.02–0.11
Lecavalier–Downie–Purcell0:360.00–0.000:350.00–0.080:590.14–0.000:310.00–0.040:350.00–0.08
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos1:180.03–0.001:020.03–0.000:310.00–0.00
Downie–Stamkos–Connolly0:380.00–0.111:200.00–0.11
St. Louis–Thompson–Stamkos0:350.02–0.000:420.00–0.000:340.02–0.000:420.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Angelidis–Purcell1:100.00–0.00
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos0:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Moore1:020.08–0.001:020.08–0.00
Lecavalier–Moore–Purcell0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Thompson–Downie–Stamkos0:360.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Kubina–Brewer9:140.41–0.281:110.00–0.001:300.02–0.034:060.22–0.155:560.30–0.053:500.08–0.14
Clark–Gilroy5:580.11–0.042:310.06–0.002:330.00–0.015:470.12–0.042:490.04–0.092:210.05–0.000:370.00–0.00
Gervais–Mikkelson0:530.00–0.001:450.00–0.036:280.12–0.471:510.11–0.144:470.00–0.324:260.11–0.250:520.00–0.081:510.12–0.00
Brewer–Gilroy1:020.10–0.020:570.01–0.050:430.00–0.061:000.10–0.020:480.01–0.05
Clark–Gervais0:590.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDownie FSt. Louis FStamkos FLabrie FMoore FThompson FLecavalier FPurcell FConnolly FSmith FAngelidis FGervais DMikkelson DBrewer DKubina DClark DGilroy DOberg DGaron GDorsett FRussell FPahlsson FProspal FNash FVermette FBrassard FUmberger FJohansen FGillies FMacKenzie FBoll FMethot DMoore DLebda DTyutin DClitsome DJohnson DSanford G
TBLCBJFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Martin St. LouisTBL3028:560:582:4660
Fedor TyutinCBJ2926:290:552:5826
Steven StamkosTBL3026:150:532:4680
Brett LebdaCBJ2825:090:542:4726
Vincent LecavalierTBL2321:210:562:1241
Eric BrewerTBL2721:130:471:3923
Marc MethotCBJ2721:030:472:1714
Pavel KubinaTBL2620:560:481:4233
Bruno GervaisTBL2219:510:542:0741
Steve DownieTBL2019:450:591:5421
Antoine VermetteCBJ2319:100:502:0423
Brendan MikkelsonTBL2118:460:542:1241
Dominic MooreTBL2518:430:451:3732
Matt GilroyTBL2418:330:462:1211
Samuel PahlssonCBJ2418:230:462:1726
John MooreCBJ2718:210:411:3604
Vinny ProspalCBJ2117:520:511:4122
Derek DorsettCBJ2117:350:502:1716
Rick NashCBJ2217:320:481:1222
Brett ClarkTBL2417:250:441:4121
Teddy PurcellTBL2117:240:501:4931
Nate ThompsonTBL2216:210:451:1921
Ryan JohansenCBJ2015:560:481:1711
Aaron JohnsonCBJ1915:460:502:1730
R.J. UmbergerCBJ2114:380:421:0421
Derick BrassardCBJ1914:050:441:1310
Trevor SmithTBL1913:390:431:4130
Ryan RussellCBJ1812:030:402:2302
Grant ClitsomeCBJ1711:590:421:0600
Derek MacKenzieCBJ169:430:360:4803
Jared BollCBJ149:320:410:5903
Colton GilliesCBJ149:120:391:0402
Brett ConnollyTBL106:340:391:0621
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL85:010:381:0821
Mike AngelidisTBL74:010:340:5300
Evan ObergTBL31:210:270:3420