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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 21, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Anaheim Ducks 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsANA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ANA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Selanne–Koivu–RyanBlake–Getzlaf–PerryCogliano–Beleskey–BoninoHagman–Pelley–Smith-PellyGetzlaf–Perry–CoglianoHagman–Getzlaf–PerryBeauchemin–FowlerVisnovsky–SbisaLydman–BrookbankLydman–VisnovskyBrookbank–Sbisa
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos5:420.00–0.223:590.14–0.052:260.11–0.0110:030.16–0.201:510.09–0.011:450.02–0.00
Hall–Malone–Thompson0:550.00–0.007:270.05–0.151:210.00–0.100:570.10–0.002:060.00–0.034:150.10–0.095:100.05–0.13
Wyman–Pyatt–Smith3:560.10–0.050:520.05–0.031:320.00–0.001:270.00–0.021:320.08–0.052:400.00–0.053:110.07–0.020:480.00–0.00
Shannon–Angelidis–Connolly0:440.00–0.022:300.03–0.060:430.01–0.022:480.03–0.07
St. Louis–Pyatt–Stamkos1:140.00–0.071:200.00–0.07
Malone–Thompson–Stamkos0:420.04–0.000:450.04–0.00
Brewer–Hedman1:220.00–0.058:010.09–0.072:500.02–0.110:500.07–0.012:020.00–0.131:320.14–0.025:480.04–0.216:000.19–0.116:350.11–0.120:430.07–0.00
Gervais–Mikkelson6:550.00–0.240:550.00–0.131:290.03–0.002:410.00–0.097:400.04–0.272:030.00–0.073:250.00–0.15
Clark–Gilroy4:310.02–0.121:180.00–0.032:200.09–0.003:300.08–0.003:520.13–0.104:290.03–0.053:400.02–0.00
Mikkelson–Gilroy0:410.08–0.000:530.08–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPurcell FSt. Louis FStamkos FMalone FHall FThompson FConnolly FShannon FPyatt FSmith FWyman FAngelidis FGervais DMikkelson DHedman DBrewer DClark DGilroy DGaron GSelanne FRyan FKoivu FCogliano FPerry FGetzlaf FBlake FBeleskey FBonino FHagman FPelley FSmith-Pelly FBrookbank DLydman DFowler DBeauchemin DSbisa DVisnovsky DHiller G
TBLANAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2927:200:572:1445
Eric BrewerTBL2725:230:561:5936
Cam FowlerANA2722:150:491:2453
Corey PerryANA2321:580:571:3142
Ryan GetzlafANA2221:400:591:5941
Francois BeaucheminANA2621:360:501:4743
Martin St. LouisTBL2621:310:501:3632
Steven StamkosTBL2621:220:491:3632
Nate ThompsonTBL2620:480:481:3327
Ryan MaloneTBL2320:220:531:4943
Lubomir VisnovskyANA2320:020:521:5941
Teemu SelanneANA2319:580:521:5743
Bobby RyanANA2319:450:521:5733
Saku KoivuANA2319:220:511:5733
Brendan MikkelsonTBL2317:500:471:4001
Luca SbisaANA2117:400:501:3321
Matt GilroyTBL2417:330:441:4341
Toni LydmanANA2417:100:431:2914
Teddy PurcellTBL2417:070:431:0432
Adam HallTBL2416:500:421:1125
Sheldon BrookbankANA2316:460:441:1912
Brett ClarkTBL2315:300:401:1041
Bruno GervaisTBL2015:280:461:2602
Jason BlakeANA1815:190:511:2440
Andrew CoglianoANA1714:290:512:0402
Niklas HagmanANA1914:260:462:1932
Tom PyattTBL2014:030:421:4823
JT WymanTBL1912:260:391:0912
Trevor SmithTBL1511:140:451:0311
Nick BoninoANA1510:480:430:5920
Devante Smith-PellyANA149:440:421:0000
Ryan ShannonTBL129:350:481:0221
Matt BeleskeyANA119:110:501:0920
Rod PelleyANA107:150:441:0000
Brett ConnollyTBL96:100:410:5311
Mike AngelidisTBL85:280:411:0310