Fri, Mar 2, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.
71%
9%
12%
TBL winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 27:39 | 0.04 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 26:42 | 0.01 | 22.9% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:44 | 0.00 | 19.1% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:54 | 0.02 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:21 | 0.13 | 50.1% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.01 | 4.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 30.6% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.20 | 35.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.10 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.12 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.18 | 20.4% | +53.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.06 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:55 | 0.14 | 56.2% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:26 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:20 | 0.02 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:45 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:31 | 0.00 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.55 | −1.5 | 61:58 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 28:10 | 0.53 | 76.1% | +30.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 25:42 | 0.31 | 79.0% | +61.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 23:20 | 0.20 | 73.5% | +109.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:20 | 0.08 | 57.9% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.06 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:27 | 0.21 | 73.9% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.02 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.18 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.03 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.23 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:26 | 0.14 | 89.4% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.01 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.25 | 65.6% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.02 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.08 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:33 | 0.17 | 80.9% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 4:51 | 0.01 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 1.03 | −2.0 | 61:58 |