Fri, Mar 2, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 80% of the time.
71%
9%
12%
TBL winsNYR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Fedotenko–Boyle–Prust | Richards–Mitchell–Hagelin | Gaborik–Anisimov–Stepan | Rupp–Dubinsky–Scott | Richards–Gaborik–Dubinsky | Anisimov–Hagelin–Stepan | Staal–Stralman | Girardi–McDonagh | Woywitka–Bickel | Stralman–McDonagh | Staal–Girardi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 6:380.80–0.01 | 5:310.08–0.13 | 1:110.02–0.00 | 4:080.22–0.07 | 5:500.52–0.21 | 3:130.11–0.00 | 2:210.12–0.02 | ||||
| Hall–Thompson–Wyman | 0:460.00–0.01 | 4:190.17–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.03 | 1:500.08–0.00 | 2:560.09–0.04 | 2:010.08–0.00 | 0:450.08–0.00 | 2:220.02–0.03 | |||
| Hall–Malone–Thompson | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:080.30–0.00 | 1:090.11–0.00 | 1:140.08–0.00 | 0:590.11–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.03 | |||||
| Malone–Pyatt–Connolly | 0:420.31–0.00 | 0:490.01–0.08 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:500.31–0.00 | 0:490.01–0.08 | ||||||
| Malone–Shannon–Connolly | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Malone–Segal–Shannon | 1:090.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Shannon–Pyatt–Connolly | 1:000.02–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Segal–Wyman–Pyatt | 1:100.01–0.00 | 1:100.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Hall–Malone–Pyatt | 0:440.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Brewer–Mikkelson | 1:160.00–0.05 | 3:130.28–0.06 | 1:500.11–0.04 | 2:180.06–0.06 | 2:080.12–0.08 | ||||||
| Clark–Brewer | 0:310.00–0.03 | 3:340.17–0.00 | 1:090.02–0.00 | 1:510.09–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 1:030.08–0.00 | 1:420.05–0.03 | ||||
| Commodore–Lee | 1:450.32–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | 1:150.02–0.00 | 0:430.02–0.00 | 2:230.33–0.00 | ||||||
| Gervais–Mikkelson | 0:490.00–0.01 | 0:420.08–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:560.08–0.01 | 0:510.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Gervais–Aulie | 2:440.00–0.13 | 1:450.00–0.21 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Commodore–Mikkelson | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.06 | 0:450.00–0.06 | 1:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Clark–Gervais | 0:460.02–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gervais–Lee | 1:330.04–0.01 | 1:300.04–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Commodore–Aulie | 0:330.10–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Brewer–Gervais | 0:410.04–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.03 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.03 | |||||
| Clark–Mikkelson | 1:030.07–0.00 | 0:420.06–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:430.06–0.00 | 0:430.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Lee–Aulie | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:590.02–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Clark–Commodore | 0:560.01–0.08 | 0:340.00–0.08 | |||||||||
| Brewer–Commodore | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 0:310.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brewer–Aulie | |||||||||||
| Clark–Lee | 0:570.16–0.00 | 0:570.16–0.00 | |||||||||
| Brewer–Lee | 0:440.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Commodore–Gervais | 0:460.33–0.00 | 0:570.36–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 28 | 28:10 | 1:00 | 2:09 | 9 | 0 |
 Marc StaalNYR | 30 | 27:39 | 0:55 | 3:07 | 3 | 4 |
 Anton StralmanNYR | 27 | 26:42 | 0:59 | 2:06 | 5 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 28 | 25:42 | 0:55 | 1:38 | 10 | 0 |
 Ryan McDonaghNYR | 30 | 24:44 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 3 | 7 |
 Dan GirardiNYR | 29 | 23:54 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 1 | 6 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 26 | 23:20 | 0:54 | 1:43 | 10 | 0 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 29 | 22:20 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 4 | 5 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 28 | 20:33 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 5 | 3 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 27 | 20:27 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 4 | 4 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 27 | 19:32 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Brad RichardsNYR | 22 | 19:21 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 3 | 3 |
 Brandon PrustNYR | 22 | 18:24 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 1 | 9 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 26 | 17:46 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 4 | 6 |
 Derek StepanNYR | 24 | 17:37 | 0:44 | 1:46 | 4 | 2 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 22 | 17:20 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 2 |
 Adam HallTBL | 26 | 17:10 | 0:40 | 1:41 | 5 | 6 |
 Artem AnisimovNYR | 25 | 16:56 | 0:41 | 1:43 | 4 | 1 |
 Brian BoyleNYR | 23 | 16:43 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 1 | 9 |
 Carl HagelinNYR | 22 | 16:00 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Ruslan FedotenkoNYR | 20 | 15:36 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 0 | 5 |
 Marian GaborikNYR | 22 | 14:56 | 0:41 | 1:46 | 3 | 3 |
 Brian LeeTBL | 21 | 14:26 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 John MitchellNYR | 17 | 14:23 | 0:51 | 1:13 | 1 | 3 |
 Mike CommodoreTBL | 22 | 13:56 | 0:38 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 20 | 13:25 | 0:40 | 1:37 | 2 | 5 |
 JT WymanTBL | 17 | 12:12 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 2 | 2 |
 Brandon DubinskyNYR | 17 | 11:55 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan ShannonTBL | 14 | 10:44 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 0 | 1 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 20 | 10:39 | 0:32 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 17 | 9:33 | 0:34 | 0:59 | 1 | 0 |
 Stu BickelNYR | 12 | 9:26 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Jeff WoywitkaNYR | 10 | 8:20 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 0 | 0 |
 Mike RuppNYR | 10 | 7:45 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 John ScottNYR | 10 | 7:31 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Brandon SegalTBL | 5 | 4:51 | 0:58 | 1:33 | 0 | 0 |