Sat, Mar 3, 2012·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Montréal Canadiens 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 67% of the time.
22%
11%
10%
57%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 26:25 | 0.15 | 65.9% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.02 | 62.1% | +37.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.15 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.09 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:52 | 0.19 | 81.1% | +37.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.48 | 79.3% | +62.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:39 | 0.28 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:23 | 0.14 | 75.2% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.13 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.08 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.04 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.13 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:43 | 0.16 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.10 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:10 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:44 | 0.04 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:25 | 0.01 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 1.36 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:19 | 0.17 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 23:04 | 0.29 | 52.7% | +16.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:55 | 0.29 | 52.7% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:09 | 0.00 | 57.6% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.02 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.16 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.01 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.12 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.19 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.02 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.03 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.02 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:56 | 0.00 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:49 | 0.00 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:32 | 0.03 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 42 | 39 | 3 | .929 | 2.22 | −0.8 | 59:35 |