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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 3, 2012·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Nashville Predators 3, Florida Panthers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 58% of the time.

FLA winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Fisher–Erat–KostitsynTootoo–Spaling–WilsonGaustad–Smith–BourqueLegwand–Kostitsyn–HornqvistLegwand–Gaustad–HornqvistLegwand–Kostitsyn–SmithLegwand–Gaustad–KostitsynSuter–WeberGill–JosiBouillon–Hillen
Goc–Fleischmann–Wolski3:370.19–0.000:460.07–0.004:090.18–0.100:330.00–0.006:450.35–0.173:350.23–0.081:300.03–0.09
Samuelsson–Weiss–Bergenheim5:130.02–0.252:280.01–0.351:010.04–0.000:300.00–0.000:380.00–0.114:530.07–0.534:560.03–0.111:060.00–0.00
Kopecky–Santorelli–Matthias2:410.01–0.034:400.10–0.032:310.00–0.151:220.05–0.004:230.11–0.03
Barch–Smithson–Skille0:320.00–0.003:010.09–0.061:160.02–0.020:300.00–0.001:070.01–0.001:440.02–0.003:300.11–0.14
Kopecky–Skille–Matthias0:340.00–0.000:520.00–0.001:500.00–0.000:350.02–0.11
Weiss–Fleischmann–Wolski0:510.07–0.001:100.07–0.00
Bergenheim–Santorelli–Matthias0:380.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Strachan–Ellerby5:250.13–0.365:460.12–0.063:260.00–0.152:410.02–0.287:240.23–0.17
Weaver–Garrison8:060.24–0.210:430.00–0.000:550.04–0.001:310.04–0.008:340.32–0.212:250.00–0.051:170.00–0.00
Campbell–Gudbranson0:490.02–0.030:460.01–0.000:590.02–0.004:210.16–0.100:380.00–0.000:590.00–0.114:130.11–0.144:030.21–0.062:140.09–0.05
Campbell–Garrison0:420.07–0.000:530.00–0.042:080.10–0.001:160.00–0.04
Campbell–Ellerby0:300.03–0.000:360.00–0.000:500.05–0.141:010.13–0.000:320.03–0.00
Weaver–Ellerby1:240.09–0.04
Campbell–Weaver0:370.00–0.000:470.07–0.000:370.00–0.000:390.08–0.00
Campbell–Strachan1:020.02–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFleischmann FSmithson FGoc FWeiss FBergenheim FSamuelsson FSantorelli FMatthias FKopecky FSkille FBarch FWolski FWeaver DGarrison DGudbranson DCampbell DEllerby DStrachan DClemmensen GErat FFisher FKostitsyn FHornqvist FKostitsyn FLegwand FSmith FGaustad FBourque FSpaling FTootoo FWilson FWeber DSuter DJosi DGill DHillen DBouillon DRinne G
FLANSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA2627:331:042:0160
Ryan SuterNSH3025:540:521:4125
Shea WeberNSH2925:420:531:5306
Jason GarrisonFLA2923:480:491:5260
Keaton EllerbyFLA2219:570:541:3743
Stephen WeissFLA2719:450:441:5260
Roman JosiNSH2719:410:442:0116
Tomas FleischmannFLA2719:350:441:3661
Mike FisherNSH2819:050:411:1106
Sean BergenheimFLA2818:350:401:1952
Hal GillNSH2718:040:402:0118
David LegwandNSH2617:400:411:2618
Sergei KostitsynNSH2717:380:391:3002
Marcel GocFLA2517:330:421:2352
Martin EratNSH2617:200:400:5805
Paul GaustadNSH2817:200:372:01113
Tyson StrachanFLA2017:070:511:5330
Wojtek WolskiFLA2217:030:471:2341
Mike WeaverFLA2717:000:381:0753
Mikael SamuelssonFLA2516:480:401:5251
Tomas KopeckyFLA2216:110:441:3732
Shawn MatthiasFLA2215:440:431:3741
Jack HillenNSH2015:370:471:2523
Francis BouillonNSH2015:020:451:2823
Nick SpalingNSH2214:380:401:0915
Erik GudbransonFLA1712:540:461:2320
Andrei KostitsynNSH2012:500:391:1512
Patric HornqvistNSH2212:240:341:3413
Mike SantorelliFLA1712:130:431:3710
Jordin TootooNSH1611:590:451:2221
Jack SkilleFLA1711:500:421:1631
Gabriel BourqueNSH2011:250:341:0425
Craig SmithNSH1611:090:421:1913
Jerred SmithsonFLA1710:370:371:0722
Colin WilsonNSH1510:320:421:2220
Krys BarchFLA107:060:430:5611