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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 7, 2012·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacArthur–Grabovski–KuleminKessel–Frattin–BozakConnolly–Crabb–AshtonConnolly–Kessel–BozakSteckel–Rosehill–KesselMacArthur–Grabovski–KesselGrabovski–Kulemin–AshtonPhaneuf–GunnarssonLiles–KomisarekKomisarek–GunnarssonLiles–GardinerLiles–PhaneufPhaneuf–GardinerKomisarek–GardinerGunnarsson–Gardiner
Kunitz–Malkin–Neal7:390.36–0.241:030.02–0.000:360.00–0.001:020.00–0.006:480.09–0.101:430.01–0.200:550.03–0.020:580.01–0.001:070.26–0.000:340.00–0.00
Sullivan–Dupuis–Staal5:360.68–0.140:340.00–0.001:040.05–0.162:560.35–0.081:500.08–0.100:310.26–0.00
Cooke–Kennedy–Vitale1:470.07–0.120:410.00–0.001:590.12–0.171:100.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:520.12–0.152:070.00–0.001:310.11–0.12
Park–Asham–Adams2:490.28–0.001:400.06–0.020:340.02–0.001:250.00–0.00
Asham–Dupuis–Vitale0:460.00–0.020:340.08–0.00
Orpik–Michalek4:470.24–0.144:220.47–0.170:590.00–0.001:160.00–0.001:190.00–0.001:510.00–0.003:250.26–0.161:080.00–0.002:540.42–0.102:390.00–0.021:160.24–0.000:510.06–0.040:480.19–0.04
Martin–Niskanen4:590.08–0.343:290.18–0.021:280.38–0.170:360.00–0.004:390.28–0.252:210.27–0.152:250.01–0.200:480.01–0.001:200.01–0.021:010.07–0.120:340.00–0.00
Strait–Lovejoy2:560.01–0.010:510.05–0.003:400.02–0.000:400.08–0.002:300.05–0.011:500.00–0.000:530.01–0.001:060.02–0.001:500.08–0.001:490.05–0.00
Michalek–Lovejoy0:370.01–0.000:310.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCooke FVitale FKennedy FKunitz FNeal FMalkin FStaal FSullivan FDupuis FAsham FPark FAdams FLovejoy DStrait DMichalek DOrpik DNiskanen DMartin DThiessen GConnolly FAshton FCrabb FMacArthur FKulemin FGrabovski FKessel FFrattin FBozak FBrown FSteckel FRosehill FPhaneuf DLiles DKomisarek DGunnarsson DFranson DGardiner DGustavsson G
PITTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dion PhaneufTOR3629:200:492:2556
Carl GunnarssonTOR3623:570:401:5657
Evgeni MalkinPIT2323:561:022:2752
John-Michael LilesTOR3323:560:441:5992
Brooks OrpikPIT2523:390:571:56310
Zbynek MichalekPIT2723:300:521:5639
Mikhail GrabovskiTOR2923:030:481:5744
Phil KesselTOR2923:020:481:4291
Tyler BozakTOR2822:260:481:4083
Jake GardinerTOR3121:170:411:4462
Matt NiskanenPIT2421:040:531:5841
Mike KomisarekTOR2921:020:441:5622
James NealPIT2120:340:591:4551
Clarke MacArthurTOR2820:330:441:1744
Jordan StaalPIT2519:340:471:3519
Chris KunitzPIT1919:241:011:4541
Paul MartinPIT2519:100:461:2923
Nikolay KuleminTOR2818:260:401:2433
Tim ConnollyTOR2417:110:431:2943
Ben LovejoyPIT1815:220:511:2623
Matt FrattinTOR1814:500:491:3151
Pascal DupuisPIT2014:240:431:3325
Matt CookePIT1913:370:431:1513
Steve SullivanPIT1612:510:481:3933
Joe VitalePIT1512:230:501:2723
Joey CrabbTOR2012:160:371:1913
Brian StraitPIT1511:520:471:2621
Tyler KennedyPIT1511:420:471:3022
Craig AdamsPIT1611:220:431:1814
Carter AshtonTOR159:300:381:0811
Richard ParkPIT118:490:481:1820
Arron AshamPIT108:470:531:3220
David SteckelTOR136:420:310:5925
Jay RosehillTOR84:010:300:5820
Cody FransonTOR30:450:150:1801
Mike BrownTOR10:350:350:3500