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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 7, 2012·TD Garden, Boston

Buffalo Sabres 3, Boston Bruins 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 58% of the time.

BOS winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stafford–Gerbe–EnnisMcCormick–Ellis–KaletaBoyes–Roy–VanekBoyes–Leino–HodgsonPominville–Gerbe–HodgsonRoy–Pominville–VanekEllis–Kaleta–LeinoMcCormick–Stafford–EnnisBrennan–McNabbLeopold–WeberRegehr–SekeraWeber–McNabbLeopold–McNabbRegehr–BrennanSekera–WeberLeopold–SekeraRegehr–Leopold
Krejci–Peverley–Lucic2:090.00–0.052:070.11–0.063:200.34–0.080:450.00–0.000:580.00–0.001:140.04–0.101:340.00–0.004:250.24–0.081:190.00–0.000:510.00–0.14
Bergeron–Marchand–Seguin4:200.01–0.071:310.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:090.16–0.001:560.11–0.000:360.00–0.006:000.07–0.071:420.04–0.000:340.00–0.00
Kelly–Pouliot–Caron2:380.06–0.000:350.00–0.152:010.07–0.050:530.00–0.002:000.03–0.005:040.13–0.051:010.00–0.001:230.00–0.000:470.00–0.151:010.03–0.00
Thornton–Campbell–Paille2:190.00–0.012:290.04–0.371:130.00–0.000:360.00–0.002:450.13–0.001:420.00–0.021:340.03–0.001:150.03–0.360:360.00–0.02
Campbell–Paille–Caron1:170.00–0.200:350.00–0.000:310.00–0.180:370.00–0.00
Thornton–Kelly–Pouliot0:430.08–0.09
Kelly–Paille–Caron0:300.02–0.00
Chara–Seidenberg0:430.01–0.000:550.00–0.004:470.12–0.151:150.10–0.041:440.00–0.053:400.27–0.180:300.00–0.002:490.04–0.184:200.19–0.014:320.14–0.040:440.11–0.000:410.01–0.000:450.00–0.150:360.00–0.02
Mottau–Ference5:340.01–0.360:320.01–0.000:460.02–0.060:430.00–0.002:350.04–0.361:010.00–0.020:350.00–0.001:370.11–0.021:530.01–0.104:430.01–0.073:400.04–0.260:460.00–0.001:220.02–0.360:530.00–0.000:420.11–0.00
Corvo–Zanon3:260.00–0.493:450.33–0.090:340.00–0.142:380.00–0.001:530.19–0.007:360.30–0.541:520.00–0.012:410.12–0.040:540.00–0.000:370.00–0.14
Mottau–Zanon0:510.04–0.011:010.03–0.000:360.00–0.011:010.03–0.00
Chara–Corvo
Corvo–Ference0:440.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSeguin FBergeron FMarchand FLucic FKrejci FPeverley FKelly FCaron FPouliot FCampbell FPaille FThornton FFerence DMottau DChara DSeidenberg DZanon DCorvo DThomas GStafford FGerbe FEnnis FHodgson FBoyes FLeino FMcCormick FKaleta FEllis FRoy FVanek FPominville FLeopold DWeber DRegehr DSekera DBrennan DMcNabb DEnroth G
BOSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brayden McNabbBUF2625:190:581:2503
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2624:100:561:3434
Jordan LeopoldBUF2923:540:491:4102
Zdeno CharaBOS2622:250:521:3343
Mike WeberBUF2721:320:481:2302
Joe CorvoBOS2320:260:532:0930
Andrej SekeraBUF2520:160:491:3615
Mike MottauBOS2520:020:481:2932
Greg ZanonBOS2319:500:522:1913
David KrejciBOS1919:321:021:4340
Derek RoyBUF2219:270:531:3223
Patrice BergeronBOS2219:180:531:4814
TJ BrennanBUF2219:180:531:2524
Andrew FerenceBOS2619:170:451:4132
Brad MarchandBOS2118:570:541:2612
Robyn RegehrBUF2218:150:501:3115
Jason PominvilleBUF2118:090:521:3215
Milan LucicBOS1918:020:571:3841
Benoit PouliotBOS2017:070:511:3353
Rich PeverleyBOS1817:020:571:3941
Cody HodgsonBUF1916:480:531:3223
Tyler SeguinBOS1916:340:521:3012
Thomas VanekBUF2016:200:491:2521
Nathan GerbeBUF2015:320:471:1932
Drew StaffordBUF2215:280:421:1322
Tyler EnnisBUF2015:260:461:1722
Brad BoyesBUF1915:080:481:1731
Jordan CaronBOS1814:340:491:2122
Matt EllisBUF1814:280:481:1013
Patrick KaletaBUF1813:560:461:1812
Gregory CampbellBOS1813:140:441:1721
Daniel PailleBOS1713:050:461:1720
Chris KellyBOS1713:050:461:1333
Cody McCormickBUF1612:120:461:1001
Ville LeinoBUF1511:360:461:2310
Shawn ThorntonBOS1311:200:521:2400