Sat, Apr 7, 2012·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 72% of the time.
63%
9%
8%
20%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 25:43 | 0.04 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.01 | 25.5% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:32 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:23 | 0.36 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:50 | 0.06 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 20:20 | 0.28 | 49.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.12 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.07 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.03 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.15 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.24 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.21 | 61.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.05 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.01 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:13 | 0.00 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:42 | 0.04 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:37 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.40 | −0.6 | 58:49 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:21 | 0.06 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.03 | 60.9% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:20 | 0.12 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.55 | 51.3% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.04 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.14 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.01 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:59 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.09 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:29 | 0.27 | 54.6% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.15 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.07 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.15 | 49.6% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:01 | 0.24 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.07 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.05 | 87.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:40 | 0.72 | 88.1% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:27 | 0.11 | 87.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 1.67 | +0.7 | 60:00 |