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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 23, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Purcell–Stamkos–ConacherSt. Louis–Lecavalier–PouliotThompson–Pyatt–KillornHall–Crombeen–PanikBrewer–CarleSalo–HedmanBergeron–LeeLee–Hedman
Semin–Staal–Tlusty1:190.07–0.134:050.18–0.271:340.05–0.123:070.11–0.253:330.20–0.210:380.00–0.00
Jokinen–Wallace–Nash0:570.00–0.072:290.03–0.022:200.03–0.070:580.00–0.020:470.05–0.00
Dwyer–Staal–Bowman3:060.11–0.151:530.11–0.001:120.00–0.000:430.00–0.12
LaRose–Westgarth–Welsh1:190.01–0.121:180.01–0.001:190.06–0.12
Jokinen–Dwyer–Staal0:510.20–0.000:470.00–0.000:450.00–0.002:050.20–0.00
LaRose–Wallace–Nash1:340.00–0.001:070.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Wallace–Nash–Bowman0:330.03–0.001:090.24–0.00
Harrison–Murphy1:360.00–0.074:080.09–0.403:220.05–0.060:300.00–0.124:370.12–0.384:010.04–0.072:580.06–0.23
Sanguinetti–Jordan1:010.00–0.172:160.06–0.001:530.01–0.003:280.03–0.171:520.25–0.002:150.12–0.00
Corvo–Faulk5:060.43–0.131:420.11–0.010:340.00–0.063:110.12–0.072:140.16–0.132:300.25–0.00
Corvo–Murphy0:360.00–0.150:500.00–0.020:590.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWestgarth FWelsh FLaRose FStaal FBowman FDwyer FStaal FTlusty FSemin FNash FWallace FJokinen FMurphy DHarrison DFaulk DCorvo DSanguinetti DJordan DEllis GPyatt FKillorn FThompson FPurcell FConacher FStamkos FPouliot FLecavalier FSt. Louis FPanik FHall FCrombeen FSalo DHedman DBrewer DCarle DLee DBergeron DGaron G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan MurphyCAR2824:540:531:4151
Matt CarleTBL2823:470:511:3404
Jay HarrisonCAR3023:290:471:4033
Eric BrewerTBL2922:060:461:2804
Victor HedmanTBL3121:340:421:1428
Justin FaulkCAR2820:570:451:4175
Sami SaloTBL3020:010:401:3428
Eric StaalCAR2619:490:461:2983
Steven StamkosTBL2319:440:511:3442
Joe CorvoCAR2619:080:441:4433
Jiri TlustyCAR2318:260:481:2583
Brian LeeTBL2417:230:431:2751
Jordan StaalCAR2517:000:411:3434
Vincent LecavalierTBL2116:520:481:1972
Alexander SeminCAR2116:490:481:2774
Bobby SanguinettiCAR2216:400:452:0115
Tom PyattTBL2416:370:421:3632
Martin St. LouisTBL2216:370:451:2072
Riley NashCAR2316:350:431:4123
Jussi JokinenCAR2316:300:431:3714
Cory ConacherTBL2215:400:431:1853
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2315:390:411:0561
Benoit PouliotTBL2115:210:441:1162
Patrick DwyerCAR2215:050:411:3233
Teddy PurcellTBL2014:540:451:2553
Michal JordanCAR2014:250:431:5533
Alex KillornTBL1813:530:461:4730
Nate ThompsonTBL2313:480:361:1432
Tim WallaceCAR2013:390:411:3722
Drayson BowmanCAR2012:410:381:3131
Chad LaRoseCAR2012:090:360:5833
Adam HallTBL1611:390:441:0204
B.J. CrombeenTBL1510:440:431:3903
Kevin WestgarthCAR118:060:441:2510
Richard PanikTBL147:500:341:0102
Jeremy WelshCAR117:050:390:4910