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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 2, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Florida Panthers 2, Carolina Hurricanes 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 91% of the time.

CAR winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Mueller–Shore–HuberdeauKopecky–Weiss–FleischmannGoc–Fleischmann–SkilleKopecky–Weiss–UpshallGoc–Skille–MatthiasParros–Smithson–MatthiasParros–Fleischmann–MuellerParros–Goc–MatthiasSmithson–Kopecky–FleischmannParros–Smithson–HuberdeauKopecky–Skille–MatthiasGoc–Upshall–SkilleWeiss–Goc–MatthiasKuba–GudbransonCampbell–KulikovStrachan–RobakRobak–GudbransonCampbell–StrachanCampbell–GudbransonKuba–StrachanKuba–CampbellStrachan–GudbransonKuba–Robak
Semin–Staal–Tlusty1:280.00–0.024:460.31–0.052:230.00–0.040:500.00–0.074:570.31–0.071:530.00–0.002:100.00–0.031:050.10–0.000:370.00–0.07
LaRose–Staal–Skinner7:170.20–0.091:090.00–0.020:360.00–0.001:280.00–0.022:510.14–0.002:070.00–0.070:530.01–0.010:440.00–0.001:270.14–0.000:310.07–0.00
Wallace–Westgarth–Bowman1:590.00–0.181:300.00–0.020:330.00–0.001:280.10–0.003:110.06–0.020:530.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:580.00–0.090:540.00–0.08
Jokinen–Dwyer–Nash1:040.00–0.021:490.15–0.000:380.20–0.080:490.00–0.020:460.00–0.070:450.03–0.000:340.00–0.000:440.06–0.001:290.28–0.101:040.16–0.070:360.00–0.001:280.03–0.000:340.00–0.07
Dwyer–Staal–Skinner0:460.00–0.060:320.00–0.06
Jokinen–Semin–Staal0:370.00–0.000:300.00–0.030:300.00–0.030:370.00–0.00
Semin–Staal–Skinner0:440.00–0.00
Dwyer–Nash–Bowman0:500.25–0.030:320.01–0.00
Harrison–Faulk7:290.31–0.101:200.00–0.050:420.05–0.000:310.00–0.041:090.00–0.020:490.00–0.020:500.03–0.003:470.00–0.142:410.19–0.001:080.00–0.002:160.16–0.001:490.15–0.031:000.00–0.001:240.03–0.000:310.00–0.020:490.00–0.03
Corvo–Gleason3:160.12–0.023:140.14–0.001:170.01–0.001:150.00–0.000:430.06–0.002:110.12–0.003:160.01–0.001:140.06–0.001:260.00–0.021:380.00–0.001:470.38–0.00
Gleason–McBain2:170.13–0.090:450.28–0.000:370.20–0.080:350.00–0.040:510.00–0.020:590.28–0.002:060.21–0.121:240.00–0.070:340.10–0.001:260.00–0.130:540.00–0.08
Pitkanen–McBain0:320.01–0.000:450.00–0.001:250.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:310.08–0.000:410.01–0.00
Harrison–McBain0:350.00–0.010:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.010:530.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:050.00–0.00
Corvo–Faulk0:320.00–0.000:460.00–0.070:530.10–0.000:340.00–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FTlusty FSemin FStaal FSkinner FLaRose FDwyer FNash FJokinen FWestgarth FBowman FWallace FMcBain DPitkanen DFaulk DHarrison DGleason DCorvo DWard GWeiss FUpshall FKopecky FHuberdeau FShore FMueller FFleischmann FSkille FGoc FSmithson FMatthias FParros FKuba DGudbranson DKulikov DCampbell DStrachan DRobak DTheodore GClemmensen G
CARFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik GudbransonFLA2825:360:552:2015
Brian CampbellFLA3125:210:491:2814
Jay HarrisonCAR2824:150:521:3342
Tyson StrachanFLA2423:310:591:5513
Tim GleasonCAR2822:270:481:1950
Justin FaulkCAR2722:220:501:2442
Joe CorvoCAR2521:120:511:3660
Filip KubaFLA2820:560:451:2715
Jamie McBainCAR2620:390:481:2450
Alexander SeminCAR2320:290:531:2640
Jeff SkinnerCAR2220:200:552:1131
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2620:070:461:2311
Drew ShoreFLA2419:500:501:2311
Jordan StaalCAR2219:460:541:4432
Eric StaalCAR2319:180:501:3250
Peter MuellerFLA2419:080:481:2510
Tomas FleischmannFLA2318:090:471:3312
Marcel GocFLA2416:410:421:3345
Jiri TlustyCAR2216:210:451:1850
Tomas KopeckyFLA2316:140:421:0313
Jussi JokinenCAR2215:180:421:0643
Colby RobakFLA2314:480:391:1424
Shawn MatthiasFLA2114:070:401:0725
Chad LaRoseCAR2014:040:421:1051
Patrick DwyerCAR1712:420:451:0821
Riley NashCAR1911:580:381:0713
Jack SkilleFLA1511:350:461:0731
Drayson BowmanCAR1411:170:481:3350
Stephen WeissFLA1711:050:390:5802
Tim WallaceCAR1510:090:411:3450
Dmitry KulikovFLA129:480:491:2501
Jerred SmithsonFLA169:250:351:0315
Kevin WestgarthCAR149:210:401:3240
George ParrosFLA129:060:461:1413
Joni PitkanenCAR96:020:401:0800
Scottie UpshallFLA74:330:390:4601