Thu, Mar 14, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
41%
11%
9%
39%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 27:40 | 0.13 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 26:04 | 0.08 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.15 | 61.5% | +80.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 21:04 | 0.37 | 63.1% | +80.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.17 | 56.5% | +80.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.01 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.33 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.05 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.15 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.06 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:31 | 0.11 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.02 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:04 | 0.73 | 21.3% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:20 | 0.00 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:58 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.44 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 27:49 | 0.12 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 24:05 | 0.27 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 23:10 | 0.07 | 35.9% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.12 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:46 | 0.21 | 30.6% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.01 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.18 | 90.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:22 | 0.13 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.04 | 51.4% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.53 | 88.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.44 | 88.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.09 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.16 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.04 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:29 | 0.01 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:19 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:06 | 0.02 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 1.86 | −0.1 | 59:08 |