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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 14, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsPIT wins

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #58000+1327:400.1368.7%0.0
Paul MartinD · #7000+2226:040.0831.2%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #87022+2222:570.1561.5%+80.9
Pascal DupuisRW · #9202+2721:040.3763.1%+80.9
Chris KunitzLW · #14022+1120:060.1756.5%+80.9
Brooks OrpikD · #440000018:540.0020.6%0.0
Simon DespresD · #470000018:020.0164.6%0.0
Matt NiskanenD · #2000+1017:260.0051.0%0.0
Brandon SutterC · #16000+1217:110.3363.6%0.0
James NealLW · #180000115:500.0553.1%0.0
Matt CookeLW · #240000014:330.1555.7%0.0
Tyler KennedyC · #48000−1213:530.0651.8%0.0
Beau BennettRW · #190000413:310.1125.4%0.0
Deryk EngellandD · #50000012:180.0058.5%0.0
Dustin JeffreyLW · #15000−1211:460.0231.3%0.0
Craig AdamsRW · #27101+1210:040.7321.3%+2.2
Tanner GlassLW · #10000008:200.0080.6%0.0
Joe VitaleC · #46000005:580.0023.5%0.0
Marc-Andre Fleury#29W29281.9662.44+1.460:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Dion PhaneufD · #3000−3127:490.1260.5%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21000−2324:050.2730.3%0.0
Phil KesselRW · #81011−2123:100.0735.9%+23.9
Carl GunnarssonD · #360000122:110.1238.0%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #42101−2421:460.2130.6%+23.9
Korbinian HolzerD · #55000−2119:290.0161.0%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #43000−1218:000.1890.1%0.0
John-Michael LilesD · #240000417:220.1357.5%0.0
Cody FransonD · #40110217:010.0451.4%+23.9
Mark FraserD · #45000+1016:140.0055.6%0.0
Nikolay KuleminLW · #410000216:060.5388.6%0.0
Clarke MacArthurLW · #160000115:120.4488.2%0.0
Mikhail GrabovskiC · #840000214:550.0944.1%0.0
Leo KomarovRW · #470000214:500.1662.0%0.0
Matt FrattinRW · #390000112:480.0432.9%0.0
Jay McClementC · #11000019:290.0178.6%0.0
Colton OrrRW · #28000002:190.00100.0%0.0
Frazer McLarenLW · #38000012:060.02100.0%0.0
Ben Scrivens#30L27252.9261.86−0.159:08