Mon, Mar 18, 2013·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Calgary Flames 3, Dallas Stars 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 74% of the time.
65%
8%
19%
DAL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 28:19 | 0.21 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 27:46 | 0.04 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:21 | 0.16 | 49.8% | +7.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.18 | 18.8% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:21 | 0.02 | 45.6% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.04 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.21 | 29.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.03 | 50.7% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.11 | 13.4% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.16 | 25.6% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.20 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.73 | 27.0% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.01 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.21 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:52 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:40 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:30 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 1:52 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 3.67 | −0.3 | 58:35 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:15 | 0.02 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:18 | 0.03 | 89.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:34 | 0.04 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:15 | 0.03 | 91.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.23 | 79.7% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:43 | 0.54 | 84.3% | +16.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.44 | 89.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.08 | 51.6% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.17 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.18 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.13 | 92.7% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 13:27 | 0.82 | 92.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.24 | 70.7% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.59 | 94.2% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.09 | 52.5% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:17 | 0.05 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:20 | 0.00 | 48.2% | +19.0 |
| W | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 2.32 | −0.7 | 60:00 |