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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 19, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Florida Panthers 4, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 84% of the time.

CAR winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Mueller–Shore–HuberdeauKopecky–Goc–FleischmannUpshall–Skille–MatthiasSmithson–Santorelli–SelleckUpshall–Skille–ShoreUpshall–Santorelli–MatthiasSantorelli–Shore–HuberdeauCampbell–StrachanKuba–GudbransonBrennan–RobakBrennan–Gudbranson
Dwyer–Staal–Skinner5:020.24–0.682:300.00–0.311:400.00–0.081:140.07–0.236:050.26–0.484:230.01–0.880:380.03–0.03
Semin–Staal–Tlusty1:470.44–0.263:570.13–0.292:160.13–0.001:160.00–0.007:190.57–0.593:120.50–0.00
Jokinen–Nash–Bowman1:240.02–0.002:380.00–0.031:510.01–0.051:390.00–0.032:130.01–0.053:020.03–0.14
Hall–Brent–Westgarth0:360.05–0.232:350.22–0.062:330.22–0.06
Hall–Staal–Tlusty
Pitkanen–McBain1:010.03–0.025:300.06–0.422:360.00–0.301:240.13–0.147:170.06–0.513:000.00–0.071:450.16–0.17
Gleason–Sanguinetti0:450.03–0.021:540.07–0.432:000.18–0.061:590.09–0.040:530.02–0.002:480.09–0.432:370.55–0.153:110.12–0.07
Harrison–Faulk4:550.37–0.660:390.00–0.021:290.12–0.142:240.01–0.592:220.24–0.00
Gleason–Harrison1:040.06–0.010:370.00–0.001:230.00–0.000:560.03–0.000:360.00–0.260:340.10–0.002:000.06–0.001:110.00–0.272:050.13–0.00
Harrison–McBain1:380.45–0.040:480.44–0.041:080.03–0.000:380.10–0.00
Pitkanen–Sanguinetti0:490.07–0.001:580.10–0.000:360.00–0.000:340.00–0.49
Gleason–Faulk0:540.00–0.000:360.00–0.020:570.02–0.00
Gleason–McBain0:450.06–0.001:070.06–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FDwyer FSkinner FSemin FTlusty FStaal FNash FBowman FJokinen FBrent FWestgarth FHall FFaulk DHarrison DGleason DSanguinetti DMcBain DPitkanen DEllis GHuberdeau FShore FMueller FFleischmann FGoc FKopecky FMatthias FSkille FUpshall FSelleck FSantorelli FSmithson FKuba DGudbranson DStrachan DCampbell DBrennan DRobak DMarkstrom G
CARFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA2527:531:072:0635
Joni PitkanenCAR2724:300:543:0284
Jamie McBainCAR2823:210:502:0284
Tim GleasonCAR2622:210:522:0124
Tyson StrachanFLA2421:240:541:4423
Eric StaalCAR2421:140:533:0753
Filip KubaFLA2721:020:472:0226
Alexander SeminCAR2520:160:492:0252
Jeff SkinnerCAR2320:100:532:0533
Erik GudbransonFLA2820:010:432:0224
Jordan StaalCAR2519:260:472:0524
Jay HarrisonCAR2718:580:421:1833
Marcel GocFLA2517:430:431:2339
Tomas KopeckyFLA2517:360:421:3048
Tomas FleischmannFLA2116:420:482:1645
Drew ShoreFLA2316:300:431:1522
Bobby SanguinettiCAR1916:270:521:3811
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2216:270:451:1512
TJ BrennanFLA2015:540:481:4522
Patrick DwyerCAR2315:530:411:1004
Shawn MatthiasFLA2115:290:441:3321
Jiri TlustyCAR2115:010:431:3262
Jack SkilleFLA2215:000:411:1131
Peter MuellerFLA2013:570:421:1222
Colby RobakFLA1913:460:431:2222
Jussi JokinenCAR1913:280:431:1773
Drayson BowmanCAR1813:190:441:2041
Scottie UpshallFLA2012:180:370:5731
Riley NashCAR1811:560:401:2063
Mike SantorelliFLA1611:560:451:0931
Adam HallCAR1210:260:521:2411
Tim BrentCAR1210:250:521:4821
Justin FaulkCAR1510:110:411:3331
Jerred SmithsonFLA1410:100:441:3532
Eric SelleckFLA117:470:420:5821
Kevin WestgarthCAR87:050:531:0311