Fri, Mar 29, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
New Jersey Devils 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
36%
11%
10%
43%
TBL winsNJD wins
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 27:14 | 0.10 | 57.6% | +23.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 26:37 | 0.14 | 70.4% | +44.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:25 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:47 | 0.15 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.08 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:30 | 0.66 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.13 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.04 | 86.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.06 | 38.6% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.03 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 39.4% | +44.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.16 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.08 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.11 | 56.1% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.00 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:27 | 0.34 | 66.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:08 | 0.00 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:37 | 0.06 | 77.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 1.93 | −2.1 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:44 | 0.08 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:39 | 0.12 | 54.4% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:30 | 0.07 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 23:39 | 0.63 | 57.4% | +82.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:18 | 0.00 | 26.2% | +48.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.10 | 50.1% | +20.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.15 | 59.0% | +65.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.10 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:55 | 0.23 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:23 | 0.07 | 63.5% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.01 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.02 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.13 | 28.4% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.00 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 8:22 | 0.18 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:38 | 0.02 | 62.8% | +17.2 |
| W | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.13 | −1.9 | 64:09 |