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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 29, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

New Jersey Devils 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.

TBL winsNJD wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Elias–Clarkson–ZajacD'Agostini–Henrique–LoktionovBernier–Gionta–CarterKostopoulos–Ponikarovsky–SestitoSalvador–ZidlickyFayne–GreeneVolchenkov–HarroldGreene–HarroldVolchenkov–Zidlicky
St. Louis–Killorn–Stamkos3:110.36–0.084:500.00–0.062:340.11–0.064:050.07–0.084:520.04–0.121:560.36–0.001:160.07–0.03
Thompson–Pouliot–Purcell5:490.08–0.251:370.05–0.001:340.08–0.001:170.02–0.004:040.21–0.004:370.02–0.181:190.00–0.07
Johnson–Panik–Palat1:260.15–0.140:480.00–0.002:100.00–0.102:490.00–0.292:480.00–0.441:330.00–0.122:090.15–0.000:540.00–0.00
St. Louis–Stamkos–Conacher1:070.01–0.110:410.01–0.070:490.01–0.00
Pyatt–Purcell–Conacher0:320.00–0.001:180.02–0.00
Thompson–Pyatt–Conacher0:510.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Salo–Hedman6:130.22–0.231:300.20–0.001:030.14–0.000:470.00–0.004:120.34–0.053:550.00–0.181:060.21–0.000:480.00–0.00
Carle–Gudas1:590.00–0.142:070.02–0.021:140.13–0.001:090.00–0.043:450.02–0.201:540.04–0.000:530.10–0.000:570.02–0.00
Brewer–Sustr0:330.00–0.072:000.00–0.001:330.01–0.000:310.00–0.002:100.02–0.001:050.01–0.071:280.01–0.00
Brewer–Carle1:360.00–0.080:490.00–0.001:270.00–0.101:050.00–0.002:040.00–0.191:020.00–0.00
Hedman–Sustr0:550.00–0.000:340.00–0.060:460.00–0.010:310.00–0.060:550.00–0.011:120.00–0.00
Aulie–Gudas0:390.00–0.060:540.02–0.001:070.00–0.060:330.02–0.040:550.29–0.00
Carle–Sustr1:000.00–0.100:350.00–0.070:570.00–0.100:350.00–0.07
Brewer–Hedman0:440.00–0.010:400.00–0.240:510.00–0.24
Brewer–Gudas0:480.04–0.00
Carle–Hedman0:400.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Brewer–Aulie0:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Aulie–Sustr0:370.00–0.000:300.00–0.020:300.00–0.00
Salo–Sustr0:490.01–0.000:490.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKillorn FSt. Louis FStamkos FPurcell FThompson FPouliot FPyatt FConacher FJohnson FPanik FPalat FBrewer DCarle DSalo DHedman DAulie DGudas DSustr DGaron GGionta FBernier FCarter FZajac FClarkson FElias FHenrique FD'Agostini FLoktionov FPonikarovsky FSestito FKostopoulos FGreene DFayne DZidlicky DSalvador DHarrold DVolchenkov DBrodeur G
TBLNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marek ZidlickyNJD2727:141:012:2451
Victor HedmanTBL3226:440:502:0349
Andy GreeneNJD3126:370:522:2645
Martin St. LouisTBL2625:390:592:5581
Sami SaloTBL3024:300:492:1157
Bryce SalvadorNJD2524:250:593:0512
Steven StamkosTBL2523:390:572:5571
Matt CarleTBL2723:180:522:0951
Patrik EliasNJD2822:470:491:4273
Nate ThompsonTBL2922:260:461:4027
Travis ZajacNJD2822:180:481:4262
David ClarksonNJD2621:300:501:4271
Adam HenriqueNJD2521:180:511:3574
Alex KillornTBL2620:520:481:2352
Teddy PurcellTBL2417:590:452:3031
Mark FayneNJD2617:270:401:4123
Andrei LoktionovNJD2317:020:441:1622
Benoit PouliotTBL2316:550:441:3051
Eric BrewerTBL2616:310:381:0032
Peter HarroldNJD2115:560:461:1903
Matt D'AgostiniNJD2315:550:421:4322
Steve BernierNJD2115:290:441:4221
Radko GudasTBL2115:230:441:2440
Tyler JohnsonTBL2014:260:431:1643
Stephen GiontaNJD2014:130:431:3811
Andrej SustrTBL1513:070:521:2020
Ryan CarterNJD1813:010:431:2811
Ondrej PalatTBL1912:520:411:2432
Anton VolchenkovNJD1912:360:401:2214
Richard PanikTBL1512:250:501:3931
Tom PyattTBL1310:450:501:4023
Tom KostopoulosNJD149:270:411:0120
Alexei PonikarovskyNJD169:080:340:5242
Cory ConacherTBL148:220:361:1020
Tim SestitoNJD137:370:351:0130
Keith AulieTBL115:380:311:1810