Sat, Apr 27, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Florida Panthers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.
43%
10%
9%
37%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:34 | 0.02 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 0 | 22:24 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 0 | 22:14 | 0.00 | 48.2% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:58 | 0.04 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:46 | 0.24 | 37.7% | +55.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 33.3% | +59.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.18 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17:02 | 0.30 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:57 | 0.92 | 30.6% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:05 | 0.09 | 43.7% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.24 | 57.2% | +31.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.04 | 34.4% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.09 | 55.0% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:46 | 0.19 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.10 | 49.3% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:55 | 0.09 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 8:03 | 0.09 | 82.0% | +31.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:45 | 0.09 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.91 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:13 | 0.04 | 55.8% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:22 | 0.38 | 61.8% | +22.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23:10 | 0.57 | 59.4% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:48 | 0.01 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 22:06 | 0.15 | 70.3% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.00 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.07 | 71.3% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.05 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.19 | 59.5% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.01 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.03 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.05 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:23 | 0.46 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.08 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.09 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.45 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.28 | 53.8% | +12.6 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.05 | −2.0 | 59:13 |