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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 27, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Goc–Fleischmann–HuberdeauKopecky–Mueller–ShoreUpshall–Matthias–HowdenParros–Selleck–BjugstadKopecky–Mueller–BjugstadUpshall–Matthias–BjugstadUpshall–Matthias–SelleckCampbell–PetrovicKuba–WeaverStrachan–BrennanCampbell–WeaverKuba–Strachan
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos6:540.70–0.172:320.12–0.071:450.00–0.020:460.02–0.008:440.74–0.183:050.00–0.141:490.10–0.000:320.00–0.070:340.12–0.00
Pyatt–Killorn–Tyrell2:000.03–0.191:250.00–0.003:110.01–0.130:430.00–0.071:030.00–0.001:360.00–0.152:420.03–0.054:020.05–0.250:570.00–0.000:480.03–0.00
Crombeen–Thompson–Labrie1:380.30–0.170:350.08–0.013:070.07–0.001:550.08–0.012:130.00–0.023:260.23–0.092:380.38–0.13
Lecavalier–Malone–Pouliot1:250.11–0.001:430.03–0.051:370.29–0.000:410.00–0.000:320.29–0.000:330.00–0.292:060.29–0.004:060.43–0.421:220.05–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos0:300.00–0.030:300.00–0.030:330.00–0.00
Pouliot–Pyatt–Killorn0:450.00–0.00
Brewer–Carle4:170.09–0.033:520.44–0.202:390.00–0.102:220.08–0.000:530.08–0.011:070.00–0.015:470.02–0.045:550.16–0.313:340.39–0.171:580.00–0.100:300.12–0.00
Salo–Hedman3:310.29–0.142:200.01–0.193:360.37–0.031:040.00–0.020:380.29–0.005:020.69–0.114:590.39–0.102:460.00–0.220:550.03–0.00
Roy–Aulie2:530.14–0.041:160.00–0.081:390.01–0.070:500.00–0.002:130.00–0.070:330.00–0.293:160.00–0.043:000.14–0.383:500.12–0.200:410.00–0.00
Brewer–Hedman0:560.32–0.040:560.32–0.04
Roy–Hedman0:480.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Carle–Hedman0:590.00–0.00
Brewer–Aulie0:300.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPurcell FSt. Louis FStamkos FLecavalier FMalone FPouliot FPyatt FKillorn FTyrell FThompson FLabrie FCrombeen FBrewer DCarle DSalo DHedman DAulie DRoy DLindback GHuberdeau FFleischmann FGoc FBjugstad FMueller FKopecky FMatthias FUpshall FHowden FSelleck FShore FParros FCampbell DPetrovic DKuba DWeaver DBrennan DStrachan DMarkstrom G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA3125:340:491:3291
Matt CarleTBL3125:130:491:3637
Steven StamkosTBL2423:220:582:3425
Martin St. LouisTBL2623:100:531:5916
Eric BrewerTBL2922:480:471:2326
Mike WeaverFLA3022:240:451:2938
Filip KubaFLA2922:140:461:2918
Victor HedmanTBL3022:060:441:4475
Alexander PetrovicFLA2619:580:461:3252
Sami SaloTBL2919:490:411:4476
Teddy PurcellTBL2219:130:521:4413
Tomas FleischmannFLA3018:460:381:0241
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2717:550:401:1052
Tomas KopeckyFLA2717:310:391:0537
Peter MuellerFLA2517:020:411:1526
Marcel GocFLA2716:570:381:0461
Tyson StrachanFLA2616:050:371:1722
Alex KillornTBL1815:330:521:2750
Scottie UpshallFLA2315:330:411:2331
Nick BjugstadFLA2014:530:451:0661
Drew ShoreFLA2314:470:391:1326
Shawn MatthiasFLA2214:460:401:1032
Vincent LecavalierTBL2114:330:421:1455
Mathieu RoyTBL1914:070:451:2133
Keith AulieTBL1914:010:441:2113
TJ BrennanFLA2213:520:382:0123
Nate ThompsonTBL2113:280:381:1356
Tom PyattTBL1713:160:471:2151
Benoit PouliotTBL1712:230:441:2722
Dana TyrellTBL1711:400:411:2150
B.J. CrombeenTBL1811:020:371:1344
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL1710:370:371:1342
Ryan MaloneTBL1610:260:391:2721
Quinton HowdenFLA149:550:431:1002
Eric SelleckFLA148:030:351:0250
George ParrosFLA127:450:391:0241