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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 23, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 4, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 55% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Spezza–Michalek–ZibanejadMacArthur–Ryan–TurrisNeil–Smith–ConacherGreening–Condra–GrantMethot–KarlssonWiercioch–CowenPhillips–Borowiecki
Zetterberg–Franzen–Nyquist1:040.00–0.012:580.05–0.171:010.16–0.041:560.00–0.011:530.04–0.112:420.15–0.042:180.02–0.04
Cleary–Datsyuk–Weiss4:200.13–0.071:370.13–0.003:480.10–0.051:110.05–0.000:580.11–0.01
Samuelsson–Miller–Andersson0:330.00–0.002:420.30–0.001:110.14–0.002:040.16–0.001:350.01–0.05
Abdelkader–Helm–Tatar0:400.03–0.000:560.00–0.002:180.08–0.230:480.04–0.001:330.01–0.051:450.08–0.17
Miller–Abdelkader–Andersson1:000.00–0.000:450.02–0.001:000.00–0.000:420.02–0.00
Datsyuk–Weiss–Tatar1:020.00–0.011:070.00–0.01
Kronwall–Ericsson1:550.00–0.005:200.07–0.171:050.10–0.170:510.00–0.015:230.05–0.071:100.00–0.042:320.11–0.20
Quincey–Smith4:480.13–0.061:390.24–0.111:050.17–0.003:240.09–0.053:110.32–0.072:020.14–0.01
Kindl–Lashoff2:460.02–0.002:360.16–0.000:510.14–0.003:090.04–0.022:460.01–0.05
Ericsson–Quincey1:270.00–0.091:310.02–0.090:400.00–0.00
Quincey–Kindl1:000.00–0.030:380.04–0.020:470.00–0.010:350.00–0.01
Kronwall–Smith0:450.00–0.02
Smith–Lashoff1:140.02–0.001:070.02–0.00
Kronwall–Kindl0:350.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDatsyuk FCleary FWeiss FNyquist FZetterberg FFranzen FTatar FAbdelkader FHelm FAndersson FMiller FSamuelsson FSmith DQuincey DEricsson DKronwall DKindl DLashoff DHoward GSmith FNeil FConacher FRyan FTurris FMacArthur FMichalek FSpezza FZibanejad FGreening FCondra FGrant FPhillips DBorowiecki DMethot DKarlsson DCowen DWiercioch DLehner G
DETOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2730:201:072:4366
Niklas KronwallDET2926:110:541:5254
Chris PhillipsOTT2521:270:512:3824
Jonathan EricssonDET2720:570:471:2634
Kyle TurrisOTT2920:250:421:2137
Clarke MacArthurOTT2819:560:431:1535
Marc MethotOTT2319:540:522:0455
Henrik ZetterbergDET2819:340:421:4282
Pavel DatsyukDET2519:180:461:3284
Kyle QuinceyDET2718:280:411:3365
Patrick WierciochOTT2317:550:471:3327
Johan FranzenDET2617:490:411:3270
Jason SpezzaOTT2317:370:461:49103
Bobby RyanOTT2116:580:481:5543
Gustav NyquistDET2316:250:432:2261
Brendan SmithDET2416:210:411:2165
Milan MichalekOTT2215:590:441:2583
Mark BorowieckiOTT2515:390:381:3314
Mika ZibanejadOTT1915:030:481:2593
Darren HelmDET2614:590:351:0941
Drew MillerDET1814:210:481:1735
Joakim AnderssonDET2014:130:431:0346
Brian LashoffDET2114:120:411:1642
Jakub KindlDET1813:280:451:5261
Justin AbdelkaderDET2013:090:391:2652
Jared CowenOTT2112:470:371:1729
Daniel ClearyDET1811:270:381:0552
Stephen WeissDET1811:180:381:0042
Tomas TatarDET1911:170:361:1760
Derek GrantOTT1811:140:371:0707
Zack SmithOTT2011:050:331:0636
Cory ConacherOTT1810:030:341:1325
Chris NeilOTT189:340:320:5015
Mikael SamuelssonDET159:180:371:0650
Erik CondraOTT159:100:371:0905
Colin GreeningOTT117:380:421:0011