Tue, Apr 1, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
42%
9%
9%
39%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 27:23 | 0.15 | 63.0% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 25:30 | 0.05 | 57.7% | +25.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:19 | 0.15 | 26.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.36 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:12 | 0.28 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:59 | 0.08 | 27.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.67 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.23 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.24 | 51.3% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.08 | 57.1% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.29 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.03 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.08 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.01 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:16 | 0.02 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:36 | 0.00 | 4.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:22 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.79 | −0.2 | 59:02 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.13 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.09 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.15 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.01 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.27 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.09 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.07 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:18 | 0.44 | 78.1% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.28 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.03 | 42.2% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.04 | 52.0% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:17 | 0.20 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.25 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.31 | 31.6% | +27.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:40 | 0.43 | 63.5% | +14.2 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.72 | +0.7 | 59:56 |