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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 11, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Calgary Flames 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 80% of the time.

BUF winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Byron–Colborne–MonahanHudler–Gaudreau–JoorisHudler–Gaudreau–GranlundRaymond–Bouma–BolligJones–Glencross–GranlundJones–Glencross–JoorisByron–Colborne–JoorisJones–Colborne–GranlundRaymond–Byron–MonahanGiordano–BrodieWideman–RussellEngelland–DiazWideman–GiordanoRussell–DiazRussell–Brodie
Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons6:310.10–0.291:460.00–0.071:360.00–0.000:360.00–0.040:370.00–0.008:480.39–0.023:470.02–0.420:320.05–0.020:360.09–0.000:410.00–0.000:310.05–0.00
Gionta–Mitchell–Flynn2:200.00–0.012:140.02–0.062:390.00–0.060:420.02–0.030:540.00–0.021:250.00–0.141:250.00–0.006:520.13–0.133:060.02–0.180:390.00–0.01
Stafford–Stewart–Foligno1:580.03–0.061:100.00–0.001:280.00–0.071:440.00–0.031:260.00–0.050:360.00–0.000:460.03–0.005:100.03–0.133:080.00–0.021:510.00–0.020:450.03–0.050:550.01–0.05
McCormick–Kaleta–Deslauriers0:500.00–0.091:470.08–0.000:450.05–0.001:500.07–0.090:400.00–0.000:470.05–0.000:410.02–0.00
Kaleta–Ennis–Deslauriers1:080.01–0.150:380.01–0.050:350.00–0.10
Gorges–Myers7:310.10–0.352:450.03–0.070:380.00–0.011:560.06–0.001:070.00–0.161:060.12–0.009:120.14–0.163:560.03–0.412:370.06–0.121:300.09–0.060:360.00–0.000:340.05–0.00
Ristolainen–Zadorov3:520.00–0.091:250.04–0.183:000.01–0.200:300.00–0.000:360.00–0.020:390.13–0.000:450.00–0.046:320.22–0.155:080.01–0.281:170.05–0.15
Benoit–Weber0:320.03–0.000:550.02–0.000:440.00–0.002:270.00–0.112:350.00–0.071:470.00–0.050:370.00–0.002:140.13–0.085:550.12–0.043:430.00–0.070:340.00–0.05
Weber–Ristolainen
Myers–Zadorov0:440.00–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMoulson FGirgensons FEnnis FGionta FMitchell FFlynn FStafford FStewart FFoligno FMcCormick FKaleta FDeslauriers FGorges DMyers DZadorov DRistolainen DWeber DBenoit DEnroth GColborne FMonahan FByron FGaudreau FHudler FJooris FJones FGlencross FGranlund FBouma FRaymond FBollig FGiordano DBrodie DRussell DWideman DEngelland DDiaz DRamo G
BUFCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Tyler MyersBUF3327:370:502:0246
Mark GiordanoCGY3226:180:491:5657
Dennis WidemanCGY3125:570:501:5054
Kris RussellCGY3324:440:451:2173
Josh GorgesBUF3224:220:461:5727
TJ BrodieCGY3224:110:451:5137
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2521:160:511:3555
Sean MonahanCGY2420:480:521:4654
Tyler EnnisBUF2520:450:501:3553
Joe ColborneCGY2420:090:501:2325
Paul ByronCGY2519:110:461:0744
Matt MoulsonBUF2118:470:541:3862
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2817:540:381:2352
Torrey MitchellBUF2217:230:471:2334
Drew StaffordBUF2217:220:472:2343
Jiri HudlerCGY2017:160:522:2421
Mike WeberBUF2517:090:411:2617
Johnny GaudreauCGY2117:070:492:1322
Nikita ZadorovBUF2216:560:461:2360
Brian FlynnBUF2216:020:441:2345
Josh JoorisCGY2215:430:431:0864
Brian GiontaBUF1915:400:491:0932
Markus GranlundCGY2315:030:391:2342
Marcus FolignoBUF2114:310:411:1362
Andre BenoitBUF1914:150:451:0335
Chris StewartBUF2014:120:431:1363
Curtis GlencrossCGY2012:270:371:0363
Mason RaymondCGY1711:130:401:0332
David JonesCGY1810:540:361:1332
Raphael DiazCGY159:500:391:0712
Lance BoumaCGY149:400:410:5903
Deryk EngellandCGY159:240:380:5711
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF138:020:371:1313
Brandon BolligCGY127:310:380:5900
Cody McCormickBUF85:470:431:1003
Patrick KaletaBUF85:300:410:5521