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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 7, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Purcell–Eberle–Nugent-HopkinsRoy–Fraser–YakupovHendricks–Gordon–KlinkhammerGazdic–Lander–PakarinenHendricks–Roy–YakupovSchultz–KlefbomFerence–PetryFayne–MarincinPetry–MarincinSchultz–MarincinFayne–KlefbomFerence–Fayne
Santorelli–Winnik–Kadri8:500.45–0.211:020.00–0.000:570.00–0.138:400.25–0.182:050.12–0.091:130.00–0.000:370.03–0.000:400.00–0.02
Kessel–van Riemsdyk–Bozak1:340.30–0.216:240.27–0.392:030.02–0.213:270.36–0.173:110.25–0.020:350.03–0.00
Booth–Smith–Panik1:110.09–0.003:070.06–0.012:260.02–0.030:560.02–0.004:210.23–0.092:150.04–0.030:530.00–0.02
Lupul–Komarov–Holland0:420.00–0.040:350.02–0.023:470.08–0.042:430.02–0.073:080.02–0.041:080.00–0.041:490.01–0.051:450.07–0.030:430.00–0.00
Polak–Rielly8:380.46–0.422:020.21–0.000:560.00–0.003:160.02–0.039:040.15–0.393:350.39–0.071:410.12–0.031:260.14–0.000:520.03–0.000:360.00–0.02
Franson–Gardiner2:550.29–0.076:030.04–0.172:120.06–0.000:530.00–0.014:310.13–0.083:230.11–0.014:160.05–0.002:080.00–0.120:410.00–0.04
Robidas–Holzer1:430.00–0.134:380.09–0.072:410.02–0.182:140.02–0.064:120.11–0.162:140.00–0.071:120.07–0.061:150.01–0.00
Franson–Rielly0:330.00–0.00
Polak–Gardiner
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSantorelli FWinnik FKadri FPanik FBooth FSmith Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FKomarov FLupul FHolland FRielly DPolak DFranson DGardiner DRobidas DHolzer DReimer GEberle FPurcell FNugent-Hopkins FKlinkhammer FHendricks FGordon FYakupov FFraser FRoy FGazdic FLander FPakarinen FSchultz DKlefbom DMarincin DFayne DFerence DPetry DFasth G
TOREDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin SchultzEDM2922:570:471:1771
Roman PolakTOR2522:550:551:4426
Oscar KlefbomEDM2622:470:531:1932
Jake GardinerTOR2621:310:501:3535
Morgan RiellyTOR2321:290:561:3633
Cody FransonTOR2821:090:451:3556
Jeff PetryEDM3120:490:401:2224
Nazem KadriTOR2219:470:541:4253
Jordan EberleEDM2419:180:481:2282
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2419:070:481:1882
Teddy PurcellEDM2518:210:441:1282
Daniel WinnikTOR2318:080:472:0035
Martin MarincinEDM2617:330:411:2235
Nail YakupovEDM2317:020:441:1360
Derek RoyEDM2216:520:461:3140
Andrew FerenceEDM2516:360:401:1113
Mike SantorelliTOR2016:170:491:4243
Mark FayneEDM2616:110:371:2046
Stephane RobidasTOR2315:350:411:1634
James van RiemsdykTOR2015:080:451:3434
Korbinian HolzerTOR2114:570:431:1532
Tyler BozakTOR2014:470:441:3434
Matt FraserEDM2314:320:381:1160
Phil KesselTOR2014:310:441:2335
Boyd GordonEDM2014:250:431:1038
Trevor SmithTOR2014:100:431:1565
Richard PanikTOR1914:080:452:0072
Matt HendricksEDM1814:030:471:1008
Joffrey LupulTOR1713:520:491:4443
Peter HollandTOR1612:480:481:2143
David BoothTOR1712:460:451:2062
Leo KomarovTOR1812:020:401:1034
Anton LanderEDM1611:500:441:2721
Iiro PakarinenEDM1811:320:381:0732
Luke GazdicEDM1310:380:491:1121
Rob KlinkhammerEDM1510:270:421:4106