Thu, Mar 5, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
44%
12%
10%
35%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.09 | 33.4% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:33 | 0.07 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:32 | 0.04 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.29 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.06 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:28 | 0.12 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.22 | 40.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.00 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.04 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.28 | 42.7% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:20 | 0.34 | 35.5% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.03 | 41.2% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.16 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:04 | 0.09 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:49 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.05 | −2.0 | 57:58 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:50 | 0.02 | 43.1% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:21 | 0.01 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.03 | 73.8% | +1.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:07 | 0.37 | 60.7% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.00 | 51.5% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.28 | 62.2% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.04 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.02 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.03 | 65.9% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.06 | 63.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.14 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.05 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:45 | 0.37 | 64.5% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:00 | 0.30 | 63.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.05 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.11 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:00 | 0.16 | 31.8% | +13.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 1.82 | −0.2 | 60:00 |