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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 5, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kessel–van Riemsdyk–BozakKomarov–Kadri–PanikLupul–Booth–HollandLindstrom–Smith–SillLindstrom–Komarov–KadriLindstrom–Booth–SmithBooth–Komarov–SmithBooth–Komarov–KadriPhaneuf–GardinerRobidas–BrewerPolak–RiellyGardiner–Rielly
Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos1:270.03–0.003:320.26–0.163:080.30–0.190:520.00–0.001:070.07–0.001:580.21–0.050:330.20–0.007:260.26–0.25
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov6:240.15–0.181:330.10–0.000:420.00–0.000:320.05–0.003:030.08–0.004:430.26–0.042:060.02–0.14
Morrow–Boyle–Namestnikov0:540.00–0.001:270.07–0.071:090.00–0.003:070.00–0.221:010.00–0.002:120.00–0.063:440.07–0.000:310.00–0.001:310.00–0.25
Filppula–Paquette–Drouin1:590.00–0.001:450.09–0.092:110.10–0.090:410.00–0.023:170.09–0.103:020.10–0.091:240.00–0.02
Morrow–Boyle–Drouin1:010.07–0.020:460.07–0.001:470.14–0.02
Filppula–Namestnikov–Paquette0:330.00–0.000:300.09–0.000:340.00–0.03
Hedman–Sustr2:240.00–0.003:300.19–0.044:290.18–0.172:380.09–0.220:510.00–0.004:120.20–0.026:240.23–0.092:490.09–0.141:310.00–0.25
Stralman–Nesterov0:400.00–0.005:010.39–0.182:000.03–0.112:250.08–0.000:300.05–0.020:400.00–0.000:420.00–0.025:290.40–0.131:420.07–0.004:460.08–0.13
Coburn–Garrison7:160.18–0.161:150.20–0.004:260.01–0.002:230.32–0.003:550.05–0.160:310.06–0.00
Stralman–Hedman0:310.00–0.040:430.00–0.130:480.00–0.060:550.07–0.000:340.00–0.03
Stralman–Garrison1:000.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaquette FDrouin FFilppula FBoyle FPalat FJohnson FKillorn FCallahan FStamkos FKucherov FNamestnikov FMorrow FStralman DHedman DGarrison DCoburn DSustr DNesterov DBishop GPanik FKadri FKomarov Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FKessel FLupul FHolland FLindstrom FBooth FSmith FSill FPhaneuf DGardiner DRielly DPolak DBrewer DRobidas DBernier G
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2923:500:491:5026
Dion PhaneufTOR2822:590:491:4564
Morgan RiellyTOR2622:330:521:5855
Anton StralmanTBL2422:210:562:0345
Jake GardinerTOR2521:320:521:3122
Jason GarrisonTBL2420:360:521:3744
James van RiemsdykTOR2319:400:512:1844
Tyler BozakTOR2319:290:512:1855
Phil KesselTOR2219:280:532:1844
Alex KillornTBL2219:070:521:5774
Nazem KadriTOR2219:050:522:0251
Roman PolakTOR2218:390:511:3416
Andrej SustrTBL2217:400:481:3214
Steven StamkosTBL2017:080:511:4473
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2216:360:451:2532
Eric BrewerTOR2016:300:501:5324
Braydon CoburnTBL2316:190:431:2624
Ondrej PalatTBL2116:170:471:1543
Leo KomarovTOR2216:010:441:2653
Stephane RobidasTOR1715:520:562:1325
Tyler JohnsonTBL2215:210:421:1543
David BoothTOR1915:100:481:1526
Brian BoyleTBL2015:000:451:3215
Nikita NesterovTBL1714:530:531:4332
Ryan CallahanTBL1814:450:491:1363
Richard PanikTOR2214:200:391:1161
Nikita KucherovTBL1914:000:441:1542
Jonathan DrouinTBL1713:570:491:3121
Cedric PaquetteTBL2013:540:421:2516
Joffrey LupulTOR1612:140:461:2023
Peter HollandTOR1612:090:461:2125
Trevor SmithTOR1411:590:511:3114
Brenden MorrowTBL1310:270:481:3200
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1410:000:431:3211
Joakim LindstromTOR119:040:491:3111
Zach SillTOR117:490:431:1511