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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 29, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Calgary Flames 5, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 83% of the time.

NSH winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hudler–Gaudreau–MonahanJones–Backlund–BoumaRaymond–Colborne–JoorisStajan–Shore–FerlandStajan–Hudler–FerlandWideman–RussellEngelland–BrodieSchlemko–DiazEngelland–Schlemko
Ribeiro–Smith–Forsberg1:400.00–0.007:120.21–0.491:460.12–0.121:450.07–0.005:160.07–0.497:140.34–0.211:080.00–0.12
Gaustad–Beck–Bourque5:360.10–0.331:210.06–0.000:300.00–0.006:070.10–0.331:500.06–0.00
Fisher–Stalberg–Wilson1:520.00–0.152:540.00–0.021:040.02–0.000:540.03–0.002:250.00–0.152:220.02–0.022:330.03–0.00
Santorelli–Jarnkrok–Arvidsson0:360.06–0.001:050.01–0.072:160.00–0.150:530.06–0.071:210.01–0.001:490.00–0.17
Santorelli–Stalberg–Jarnkrok1:480.12–0.031:030.07–0.062:040.12–0.001:030.07–0.06
Fisher–Wilson–Arvidsson0:370.08–0.001:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:100.08–0.001:190.03–0.030:390.00–0.00
Ribeiro–Santorelli–Stalberg0:560.12–0.00
Fisher–Wilson–Smith0:580.00–0.001:170.00–0.00
Fisher–Smith–Forsberg1:140.00–0.15
Josi–Jones8:310.18–0.434:330.11–0.271:460.03–0.121:250.07–0.0210:520.23–0.434:510.19–0.241:430.01–0.12
Volchenkov–Ellis1:200.00–0.056:230.22–0.293:350.10–0.373:320.00–0.473:390.21–0.025:320.09–0.50
Franson–Ekholm0:580.08–0.004:470.14–0.182:110.09–0.062:060.00–0.000:450.07–0.001:360.08–0.186:540.33–0.212:430.00–0.060:450.07–0.00
Ellis–Ekholm0:580.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:170.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Ellis–Jones0:300.00–0.001:000.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Ekholm–Jones0:470.01–0.001:070.04–0.000:360.00–0.03
Franson–Josi0:390.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGaustad FBeck FBourque FForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FStalberg FWilson FFisher FSantorelli FJarnkrok FArvidsson FJones DJosi DEkholm DFranson DEllis DVolchenkov DHutton GGaudreau FMonahan FHudler FBacklund FBouma FJones FColborne FRaymond FJooris FStajan FFerland FShore FRussell DWideman DBrodie DEngelland DSchlemko DDiaz DHiller G
NSHCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Seth JonesNSH2826:190:562:1535
Kris RussellCGY2925:500:532:0956
Roman JosiNSH2725:180:562:2844
Dennis WidemanCGY2824:320:532:0955
Mike RibeiroNSH2123:551:082:2840
TJ BrodieCGY3023:260:471:3633
Deryk EngellandCGY2921:310:451:5743
Craig SmithNSH2220:500:572:2850
Filip ForsbergNSH2220:440:572:3070
Mike FisherNSH2118:540:542:1744
Ryan EllisNSH2318:460:491:2904
Mattias EkholmNSH2318:440:491:4123
Sean MonahanCGY2718:160:411:5764
Johnny GaudreauCGY2517:090:411:3654
Jiri HudlerCGY2717:030:381:1764
Cody FransonNSH2316:440:441:3042
Lance BoumaCGY2116:370:471:5502
Mikael BacklundCGY2316:100:421:3403
Viktor StalbergNSH1815:420:521:3023
David JonesCGY2215:350:431:3001
Joe ColborneCGY1915:090:481:2420
Colin WilsonNSH1914:330:461:1834
Anton VolchenkovNSH1714:090:501:2904
Mike SantorelliNSH1413:520:591:5803
Josh JoorisCGY2013:500:421:1240
Mason RaymondCGY1913:330:431:1230
David SchlemkoCGY1913:160:421:1830
Matt StajanCGY1812:510:431:1120
Micheal FerlandCGY1711:420:411:1120
Raphael DiazCGY1711:250:401:2430
Taylor BeckNSH2011:120:341:1635
Gabriel BourqueNSH1811:030:371:1615
Calle JarnkrokNSH1310:430:491:3002
Drew ShoreCGY1710:050:360:5420
Paul GaustadNSH1810:040:341:1615
Viktor ArvidssonNSH119:210:511:2112