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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 13, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 74% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Callahan–Stamkos–DrouinJohnson–Palat–KucherovBoyle–Namestnikov–BrownFilppula–Condra–KillornFilppula–Killorn–StamkosStralman–HedmanCarle–GarrisonCoburn–NesterovHedman–Nesterov
Zetterberg–Abdelkader–Larkin5:340.05–0.181:050.08–0.021:360.03–0.000:480.25–0.006:160.05–0.092:170.03–0.121:240.08–0.000:320.25–0.00
Richards–Tatar–Jurco0:350.00–0.003:200.02–0.073:370.00–0.150:530.13–0.002:570.00–0.072:310.16–0.003:370.02–0.15
Miller–Ferraro–Glendening2:020.00–0.174:420.12–0.022:030.00–0.171:310.04–0.004:370.14–0.02
Nyquist–Sheahan–Pulkkinen1:270.05–0.001:110.00–0.001:520.03–0.012:100.12–0.021:080.01–0.023:270.16–0.012:250.03–0.00
Kronwall–Ericsson0:550.00–0.006:130.12–0.091:270.03–0.001:170.01–0.001:140.00–0.043:290.01–0.003:070.04–0.005:300.16–0.020:310.00–0.00
Quincey–Green4:210.07–0.341:030.00–0.020:510.05–0.014:340.16–0.021:030.13–0.003:430.04–0.296:240.34–0.121:480.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Kindl–Smith3:390.03–0.041:130.00–0.003:490.02–0.102:020.00–0.156:250.03–0.101:320.00–0.043:310.02–0.15
Kronwall–Kindl0:510.00–0.001:180.01–0.00
Green–Kindl0:430.00–0.060:430.00–0.06
Ericsson–Smith0:570.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Quincey–Smith1:050.25–0.001:050.25–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRichards FTatar FJurco FSheahan FNyquist FPulkkinen FMiller FFerraro FGlendening FAbdelkader FZetterberg FLarkin FGreen DQuincey DEricsson DKronwall DSmith DKindl DHoward GKillorn FCondra FFilppula FJohnson FPalat FKucherov FStamkos FCallahan FDrouin FBoyle FBrown FNamestnikov FGarrison DCarle DCoburn DNesterov DStralman DHedman DBishop G
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2624:180:562:0544
Niklas KronwallDET3023:150:471:3065
Anton StralmanTBL2522:050:531:5854
Steven StamkosTBL1920:111:041:3161
Mike GreenDET2519:570:482:4501
Jonathan EricssonDET2819:430:421:1356
Kyle QuinceyDET2519:080:461:5811
Jason GarrisonTBL2518:580:461:5323
Brendan SmithDET1918:040:571:3724
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2018:040:541:3431
Justin AbdelkaderDET2117:340:501:1532
Alex KillornTBL1917:310:551:3821
Matt CarleTBL2217:300:481:5302
Henrik ZetterbergDET2117:270:501:2632
Nikita NesterovTBL2017:190:522:0332
Drew MillerDET2417:150:431:2433
Ryan CallahanTBL2017:120:521:2752
Ondrej PalatTBL2117:040:491:1735
Tyler JohnsonTBL2117:010:491:1725
Riley SheahanDET2716:430:371:5446
Luke GlendeningDET2516:350:401:1334
Jakub KindlDET2016:050:481:4623
Jonathan DrouinTBL1915:450:501:2150
Brad RichardsDET1915:410:501:5452
Nikita KucherovTBL1915:330:491:2822
Dylan LarkinDET2015:240:461:1532
Braydon CoburnTBL1714:040:502:0312
Tomas TatarDET1513:380:551:5451
Brian BoyleTBL1613:250:501:1113
Teemu PulkkinenDET2013:010:391:5442
Landon FerraroDET2012:430:381:0831
Erik CondraTBL1411:290:491:2322
Tomas JurcoDET1611:170:421:1341
JT BrownTBL1210:360:531:1013
Gustav NyquistDET1810:350:351:1043
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL129:310:481:0113