Thu, Dec 17, 2015·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
San Jose Sharks 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
44%
9%
39%
TOR winsSJS wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SJS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zubrus–Thornton–Pavelski | Marleau–Ward–Karlsson | Wingels–Donskoi–Tierney | Brown–Nieto–Hertl | Thornton–Pavelski–Hertl | Donskoi–Nieto–Tierney | Marleau–Ward–Hertl | Wingels–Nieto–Tierney | Martin–Burns | Vlasic–Braun | Dillon–DeMelo | Burns–Vlasic | Braun–Dillon | Martin–Braun | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parenteau–van Riemsdyk–Bozak | 0:380.00–0.00 | 6:040.32–0.15 | 3:370.09–0.05 | 1:510.22–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 6:280.35–0.15 | 4:160.08–0.09 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:470.03–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.06 | ||||
| Winnik–Grabner–Holland | 6:110.05–0.27 | 0:490.08–0.00 | 1:590.02–0.06 | 1:220.06–0.17 | 4:040.08–0.20 | 2:510.16–0.21 | 1:530.00–0.05 | 0:460.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Lupul–Komarov–Kadri | 2:010.00–0.18 | 0:550.16–0.00 | 2:060.35–0.08 | 0:430.02–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.06 | 3:590.09–0.13 | 3:000.35–0.09 | 1:360.29–0.12 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Matthias–Holland–Froese | 0:390.00–0.04 | 1:200.04–0.04 | ||||||||||||
| Winnik–Grabner–Froese | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Komarov–Matthias–Kadri | 0:490.04–0.00 | 1:160.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Polak–Rielly | 7:330.22–0.32 | 0:560.20–0.20 | 0:580.12–0.24 | 0:410.10–0.04 | 2:040.02–0.06 | 0:400.36–0.00 | 4:130.34–0.49 | 3:490.00–0.08 | 4:410.40–0.24 | 1:380.16–0.05 | 1:110.00–0.02 | |||
| Phaneuf–Gardiner | 0:370.06–0.00 | 5:570.26–0.20 | 1:160.04–0.00 | 1:190.02–0.00 | 0:590.07–0.06 | 0:380.25–0.00 | 6:210.39–0.10 | 3:200.17–0.11 | 1:040.06–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.03 | 0:590.25–0.06 | |||
| Hunwick–Corrado | 1:100.03–0.03 | 4:030.30–0.09 | 0:460.04–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.06 | 1:580.03–0.00 | 3:550.30–0.39 | 1:370.07–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Hunwick–Rielly | 2:150.00–0.13 | 0:300.05–0.00 | 1:490.05–0.13 | 0:320.00–0.14 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Phaneuf–Hunwick | 0:390.03–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.12 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Polak–Corrado | 1:000.13–0.12 | 1:190.03–0.04 | 1:110.03–0.05 | 1:220.13–0.12 | ||||||||||
| Hunwick–Gardiner | 0:380.00–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:550.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Polak–Gardiner | 0:410.03–0.00 | 0:500.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Rielly | 0:390.02–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORSJSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brent BurnsSJS | 33 | 27:18 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 4 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 32 | 23:49 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 3 | 6 |
 Marc-Edouard VlasicSJS | 30 | 23:35 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 8 | 7 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 31 | 22:26 | 0:43 | 1:40 | 5 | 7 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 29 | 22:09 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 1 | 6 |
 Justin BraunSJS | 28 | 21:41 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 9 | 6 |
 Paul MartinSJS | 27 | 21:36 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 5 | 2 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 33 | 21:32 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 5 | 9 |
 PA ParenteauTOR | 27 | 21:11 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 5 | 7 |
 Joe PavelskiSJS | 32 | 21:02 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 7 | 3 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 27 | 21:01 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 5 | 6 |
 Peter HollandTOR | 30 | 19:59 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 4 | 7 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 29 | 19:54 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 4 | 7 |
 Patrick MarleauSJS | 29 | 19:47 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 9 | 5 |
 Matt HunwickTOR | 27 | 18:39 | 0:41 | 1:36 | 1 | 5 |
 Joe ThorntonSJS | 30 | 18:32 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 8 | 2 |
 Michael GrabnerTOR | 29 | 17:28 | 0:36 | 1:11 | 2 | 9 |
 Joel WardSJS | 28 | 17:28 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 9 | 5 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 27 | 17:27 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 5 | 4 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 27 | 16:53 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 5 | 5 |
 Chris TierneySJS | 25 | 16:30 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Brenden DillonSJS | 22 | 15:43 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 3 | 2 |
 Daniel WinnikTOR | 26 | 15:41 | 0:36 | 1:11 | 1 | 6 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 26 | 15:31 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 5 | 3 |
 Joonas DonskoiSJS | 22 | 14:51 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Melker KarlssonSJS | 23 | 14:22 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 5 | 4 |
 Dainius ZubrusSJS | 20 | 14:07 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 1 | 3 |
 Tommy WingelsSJS | 17 | 12:20 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Tomas HertlSJS | 22 | 12:18 | 0:34 | 1:08 | 5 | 1 |
 Frank CorradoTOR | 20 | 12:09 | 0:36 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Dylan DeMeloSJS | 17 | 12:06 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt NietoSJS | 18 | 11:52 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Shawn MatthiasTOR | 16 | 9:48 | 0:37 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Byron FroeseTOR | 13 | 8:02 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 0 | 3 |
 Mike BrownSJS | 10 | 5:54 | 0:35 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |
 Nick SpalingTOR | 1 | 0:24 | 0:24 | 0:24 | 0 | 0 |