Fri, Oct 28, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Ottawa Senators 2, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 57% of the time.
32%
11%
9%
47%
CGY winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 24:10 | 0.12 | 23.4% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.15 | 53.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.04 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.05 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:44 | 0.11 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.11 | 61.8% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.01 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 16:06 | 0.47 | 69.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.09 | 58.5% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.01 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.04 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.43 | 65.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.05 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.09 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.19 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:43 | 0.19 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:41 | 0.04 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 |
| – | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.23 | −0.8 | 20:00 | |
| L | 15 | 11 | 4 | .733 | 1.58 | −2.4 | 40:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.10 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.03 | 40.0% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.05 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:48 | 0.04 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.04 | 33.7% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.10 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.31 | 30.8% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.07 | 80.3% | +1.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.28 | 80.3% | +1.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.13 | 60.2% | +54.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 31.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.09 | 47.4% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.13 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.02 | 66.0% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.42 | 73.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.00 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 54.0% | +1.4 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.20 | +0.2 | 59:07 |