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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 28, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Ottawa Senators 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 57% of the time.

CGY winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ryan–Brassard–DzingelNeil–Kelly–PuempelSmith–Stone–PageauPyatt–Turris–HoffmanTurris–Hoffman–StonePyatt–Smith–PageauRyan–Brassard–HoffmanRyan–Pyatt–BrassardKelly–Pyatt–PageauMethot–KarlssonPhaneuf–CeciBorowiecki–WidemanBorowiecki–CeciPhaneuf–KarlssonMethot–WidemanPhaneuf–WidemanMethot–CeciKarlsson–Borowiecki
Chiasson–Gaudreau–Monahan2:540.14–0.340:470.00–0.121:400.07–0.010:590.03–0.001:300.00–0.181:460.13–0.010:300.02–0.000:370.00–0.112:310.17–0.146:510.11–0.340:430.00–0.010:500.02–0.00
Versteeg–Brouwer–Bennett3:110.00–0.120:500.00–0.021:560.03–0.000:420.00–0.040:390.00–0.001:580.00–0.042:210.00–0.002:210.00–0.14
Frolik–Backlund–Tkachuk1:070.00–0.001:430.00–0.041:090.00–0.041:330.02–0.003:060.00–0.081:220.02–0.000:400.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Stajan–Brouwer–Ferland1:020.08–0.002:000.12–0.050:330.00–0.002:440.19–0.030:380.00–0.000:510.00–0.02
Stajan–Bouma–Ferland0:420.00–0.002:210.05–0.050:400.00–0.012:300.05–0.050:360.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Frolik–Backlund–Bouma0:460.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:380.15–0.000:570.16–0.000:330.00–0.001:060.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Frolik–Gaudreau–Monahan0:390.00–0.00
Versteeg–Brouwer–Backlund0:520.05–0.001:010.05–0.00
Engelland–Brodie4:410.11–0.343:120.17–0.053:310.07–0.040:380.00–0.001:240.02–0.051:120.00–0.000:410.02–0.003:150.12–0.068:030.13–0.202:520.05–0.152:240.00–0.020:410.02–0.00
Wideman–Giordano2:550.00–0.121:160.00–0.003:180.17–0.041:260.00–0.081:350.06–0.010:330.13–0.000:520.05–0.000:330.00–0.008:130.36–0.121:320.00–0.003:040.04–0.120:570.00–0.001:000.06–0.00
Jokipakka–Hamilton2:270.11–0.002:410.00–0.172:270.03–0.051:040.00–0.121:250.00–0.031:070.00–0.113:090.11–0.163:140.04–0.133:280.02–0.050:410.00–0.000:300.03–0.000:490.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndVersteeg FBrouwer FBennett FBacklund FTkachuk FFrolik FGaudreau FMonahan FChiasson FBouma FStajan FFerland FBrodie DEngelland DGiordano DWideman DJokipakka DHamilton DElliott GSmith FPageau FStone FRyan FDzingel FBrassard FHoffman FTurris FPyatt FNeil FPuempel FKelly FPhaneuf DCeci DMethot DKarlsson DBorowiecki DWideman DHammond GDriedger G
CGYOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2724:100:542:0690
Mark GiordanoCGY2822:360:481:4078
TJ BrodieCGY3222:230:421:5817
Deryk EngellandCGY3322:100:401:1729
Dennis WidemanCGY2921:480:451:2787
Dion PhaneufOTT2821:330:461:4934
Cody CeciOTT2821:150:461:4935
Johnny GaudreauCGY2520:000:481:2131
Troy BrouwerCGY2719:370:441:1068
Marc MethotOTT2719:090:432:0631
Mark StoneOTT2318:440:491:1963
Sean MonahanCGY2618:330:431:3042
Derick BrassardOTT2117:580:511:4092
Mikael BacklundCGY2317:400:461:1237
Bobby RyanOTT2216:570:461:16102
Michael FrolikCGY2216:410:461:0816
Dougie HamiltonCGY2516:090:391:4124
Kyle TurrisOTT2216:060:441:1440
Mike HoffmanOTT1915:550:501:4060
Chris WidemanOTT2515:200:371:1280
Mark BorowieckiOTT2515:190:371:1270
Ryan DzingelOTT1915:140:481:1571
Jyrki JokipakkaCGY2314:540:391:4124
Tom PyattOTT2014:490:441:3033
Zack SmithOTT2114:360:421:3533
Alex ChiassonCGY2414:310:360:5641
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2114:150:411:2443
Matt StajanCGY2214:130:391:0418
Chris KellyOTT1913:430:431:0553
Micheal FerlandCGY1711:560:421:0315
Lance BoumaCGY1811:460:390:5725
Matt PuempelOTT1410:410:461:3550
Sam BennettCGY1710:360:371:1724
Kris VersteegCGY1610:260:391:1234
Chris NeilOTT1410:160:440:5951
Matthew TkachukCGY129:330:481:0905