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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 1, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Rangers 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nash–Hayes–VeseyStepan–Kreider–FastZuccarello–Miller–PuempelGrabner–Zuccarello–MillerGrabner–Pirri–LindbergStepan–Kreider–PirriZuccarello–Hayes–VeseyGrabner–Pirri–MillerStaal–HoldenGirardi–McDonaghClendening–SkjeiHolden–SkjeiStaal–Clendening
Kane–Reinhart–Eichel2:030.06–0.001:500.00–0.112:490.02–0.170:470.27–0.001:200.03–0.004:560.06–0.196:000.35–0.181:290.00–0.00
Gionta–Foligno–Larsson5:430.27–0.060:320.00–0.000:420.39–0.001:380.00–0.090:310.00–0.314:010.39–0.454:110.29–0.002:140.03–0.01
Okposo–O'Reilly–Carrier0:320.00–0.002:430.07–0.010:340.00–0.000:400.00–0.192:420.00–0.202:150.09–0.091:470.00–0.00
Moulson–Okposo–O'Reilly0:560.44–0.132:020.00–0.080:300.06–0.000:460.00–0.040:440.23–0.002:330.06–0.081:530.44–0.000:460.07–0.170:390.23–0.00
Moulson–Grant–Girgensons0:430.00–0.002:490.32–0.021:500.32–0.001:530.00–0.02
Foligno–Larsson–Girgensons1:030.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Okposo–O'Reilly–Girgensons0:390.00–0.000:580.02–0.00
Girgensons–Reinhart–Eichel0:570.03–0.100:570.03–0.10
Kane–Foligno–Larsson0:420.00–0.02
Okposo–O'Reilly–Kane0:500.02–0.00
McCabe–Ristolainen5:260.55–0.064:140.07–0.111:230.02–0.172:320.03–0.140:540.00–0.020:400.00–0.001:040.00–0.508:200.07–0.925:390.59–0.253:280.05–0.081:020.00–0.00
Gorges–Franson5:070.17–0.014:170.07–0.091:110.06–0.001:170.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:000.23–0.004:530.08–0.096:240.26–0.005:590.00–0.010:420.23–0.00
Falk–Fedun0:510.02–0.132:510.00–0.011:080.27–0.092:490.32–0.001:030.03–0.003:230.00–0.095:150.64–0.011:160.07–0.130:370.00–0.00
Franson–McCabe0:410.00–0.000:520.49–0.001:270.49–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKane FEichel FReinhart FGionta FLarsson FFoligno FOkposo FCarrier FO'Reilly FMoulson FGrant FGirgensons FGorges DFranson DMcCabe DRistolainen DFedun DFalk DNilsson GFast FKreider FStepan FHayes FVesey FNash FMiller FPuempel FZuccarello FLindberg FGrabner FPirri FGirardi DMcDonagh DStaal DHolden DClendening DSkjei DLundqvist G
BUFNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2926:320:551:5556
Ryan McDonaghNYR3025:000:502:0125
Jake McCabeBUF2724:040:531:5524
Nick HoldenNYR2621:330:503:4632
Marc StaalNYR2821:290:461:5032
Cody FransonBUF3021:120:421:1831
Josh GorgesBUF3021:010:421:2623
Dan GirardiNYR2821:000:451:3515
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2620:230:471:1174
Jack EichelBUF2219:570:541:2241
Sam ReinhartBUF2319:360:511:2941
Kyle OkposoBUF2519:150:461:1371
Kevin HayesNYR2418:550:471:2251
Evander KaneBUF2318:100:471:5251
Jimmy VeseyNYR2517:500:431:1142
Rick NashNYR2817:450:381:1153
Mats ZuccarelloNYR1817:080:572:0110
Chris KreiderNYR2016:350:501:2040
Derek StepanNYR2416:250:411:2052
Marcus FolignoBUF2215:450:431:1525
J.T. MillerNYR1815:420:521:5013
Johan LarssonBUF2215:130:421:1525
Michael GrabnerNYR1915:110:481:4202
Brian GiontaBUF2215:080:411:4035
Jesper FastNYR2214:510:411:2023
Brandon PirriNYR1714:500:522:0421
Adam ClendeningNYR2214:210:391:2061
Brady SkjeiNYR2314:060:371:3951
Taylor FedunBUF2012:330:381:1841
Justin FalkBUF2012:260:371:1831
Matt MoulsonBUF1410:480:461:0860
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF139:400:451:0811
William CarrierBUF138:580:411:1811
Oscar LindbergNYR97:570:532:0501
Matt PuempelNYR97:470:521:3310
Derek GrantBUF96:410:451:1211