Thu, Dec 29, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.
19%
67%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:13 | 0.05 | 71.4% | +18.1 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:36 | 0.00 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.26 | 74.7% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:28 | 0.94 | 55.0% | +54.3 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.17 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.14 | 76.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:28 | 0.64 | 61.2% | +18.1 |
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.02 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:22 | 0.23 | 62.2% | +54.3 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.26 | 77.8% | +15.2 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.14 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.26 | 55.7% | +18.1 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.39 | 81.3% | +69.5 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.05 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.05 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:58 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Antoine Bibeau#30 | W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.13 | +0.1 | 63:37 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 26:22 | 0.13 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Valtteri FilppulaC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.25 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
 Anton StralmanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:25 | 0.14 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.06 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrej SustrD · #62 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.04 | 30.9% | +18.2 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.20 | 31.4% | +22.2 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.14 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Brian BoyleC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:08 | 0.36 | 33.8% | +18.2 |
 Jonathan DrouinLW · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.20 | 29.1% | +18.2 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.09 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Jason GarrisonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.02 | 25.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.09 | 31.2% | +22.2 |
 Matthew PecaC · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.22 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Slater KoekkoekD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.01 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.05 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael BournivalLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:09 | 0.10 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 JT BrownRW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:02 | 0.01 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:44 | 0.02 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | O | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.60 | +0.6 | 63:14 |