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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 29, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Komarov–Kadri–Nylandervan Riemsdyk–Bozak–MarnerHyman–Brown–MatthewsMartin–Gauthier–SoshnikovKadri–Nylander–MatthewsRielly–ZaitsevGardiner–CarrickPolak–HunwickHunwick–CarrickPolak–GardinerHunwick–Gardiner
Filppula–Boyle–Drouin1:140.00–0.092:260.04–0.064:480.10–0.210:310.00–0.001:070.00–0.022:150.08–0.033:230.00–0.214:120.13–0.28
Killorn–Peca–Gourde1:380.09–0.094:230.14–0.012:040.14–0.142:040.10–0.143:340.07–0.061:300.02–0.000:410.09–0.000:450.12–0.00
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov2:000.18–0.412:040.00–0.281:440.07–0.006:280.15–0.660:340.09–0.010:420.00–0.000:370.09–0.00
Garrison–Sustr1:130.00–0.092:270.02–0.062:060.00–0.211:270.03–0.143:180.03–0.171:280.00–0.152:400.02–0.280:320.00–0.00
Stralman–Hedman0:370.04–0.033:120.18–0.352:010.00–0.281:550.11–0.003:160.10–0.562:210.11–0.051:420.02–0.000:460.12–0.03
Coburn–Koekkoek0:570.00–0.091:460.01–0.071:230.07–0.021:070.00–0.021:560.07–0.082:220.00–0.071:540.10–0.00
Hedman–Sustr0:420.09–0.001:370.08–0.001:570.11–0.040:300.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Stralman–Garrison0:530.09–0.000:370.05–0.000:400.05–0.000:540.09–0.00
Coburn–Sustr0:410.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBoyle FDrouin FFilppula FJohnson FPalat FKucherov FKillorn FPeca FGourde FBournival FBrown FGarrison DSustr DStralman DHedman DKoekkoek DCoburn DNesterov DVasilevskiy GNylander FKadri FKomarov FHyman FBrown FMatthews FMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FMartin FSoshnikov FGauthier FZaitsev DRielly DCarrick DGardiner DHunwick DPolak DBibeau G
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2926:220:551:3635
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2723:160:522:2355
Nikita ZaitsevTOR3823:130:371:5676
Jake GardinerTOR2622:360:521:5923
Anton StralmanTBL3022:250:451:3136
Morgan RiellyTOR3821:520:351:1468
Alex KillornTBL2720:460:461:2252
Nazem KadriTOR2720:280:451:3026
Andrej SustrTBL2420:140:511:3036
Ondrej PalatTBL2719:580:441:2733
Tyler JohnsonTBL2919:330:401:1838
Brian BoyleTBL2619:080:441:2766
Leo KomarovTOR2818:310:401:3918
Connor BrownTOR2718:290:411:1156
Tyler BozakTOR2318:280:481:3052
Matt HunwickTOR2718:280:411:2535
William NylanderTOR2518:220:441:4726
Jonathan DrouinTBL2318:160:482:4354
Roman PolakTOR2717:560:401:1427
Braydon CoburnTBL2117:540:511:3813
Jason GarrisonTBL2217:490:491:3023
Zach HymanTOR2516:180:391:1446
Mitch MarnerTOR2316:140:421:2353
James van RiemsdykTOR2316:060:421:3063
Auston MatthewsTOR2615:550:371:3163
Nikita KucherovTBL2215:250:421:0923
Matthew PecaTBL1713:520:491:1441
Connor CarrickTOR1913:250:421:5203
Slater KoekkoekTBL1411:320:491:3221
Nikita SoshnikovTOR189:520:331:0311
Yanni GourdeTBL149:490:421:1232
Frederik GauthierTOR189:160:311:0414
Michael BournivalTBL149:090:391:0951
JT BrownTBL159:020:361:2151
Nikita NesterovTBL128:440:441:3050
Matt MartinTOR116:580:381:1110