Mon, Jan 23, 2017·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Calgary Flames 0, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
48%
10%
8%
34%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:11 | 0.08 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.03 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:34 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.12 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:30 | 0.25 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:17 | 0.27 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.04 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.13 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:53 | 0.57 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:19 | 0.43 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:57 | 0.16 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:07 | 0.05 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.22 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:47 | 0.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.71 | −1.3 | 59:47 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:44 | 0.11 | 33.4% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.06 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.06 | 32.8% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.05 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.25 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:55 | 0.29 | 39.9% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:47 | 0.33 | 46.5% | +20.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.42 | 33.7% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.05 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.21 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.50 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.07 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.04 | 41.4% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.20 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.06 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 26 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.33 | +2.3 | 60:00 |