Sun, Apr 2, 2017·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Dallas Stars 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 73% of the time.
63%
10%
8%
19%
TBL winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27:09 | 0.11 | 39.2% | +41.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.10 | 38.1% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.05 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.12 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.04 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.02 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.00 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.16 | 33.9% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.01 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.08 | 34.3% | +40.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.17 | 38.8% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.02 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.06 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:32 | 0.24 | 29.9% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.13 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.06 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.02 | −3.0 | 58:59 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.07 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 22:36 | 0.60 | 66.0% | +23.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.07 | 61.4% | +23.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 21:33 | 0.29 | 83.4% | +62.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:30 | 0.12 | 80.9% | +5.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.38 | 66.1% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.00 | 57.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.01 | 70.8% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.17 | 63.4% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.04 | 71.4% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.04 | 57.0% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:06 | 0.12 | 74.0% | +17.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 13:36 | 0.35 | 74.8% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:26 | 0.04 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:59 | 0.17 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:02 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:57 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 1.38 | −1.6 | 60:00 |